ATP Miami Best Bets Including Alexander Zverev vs Martin Damm

The ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/32-finals continue with some clear angles. Zverev looks a level above here and should control things if he serves well. Michelsen comes in with confidence after a dominant opener and could take advantage of Norrie’s fatigue. At the same time, Machac seems to be finding his rhythm and should have the edge if he maintains that level.

ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/32-Finals

Damm – Zverev:  22.03.2026 01:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Martin Damm has lost three of his last five matches. Fearnley retired after losing the opening set 0-6 against Damm this week in Miami in the opening round. Last season in Miami, Damm failed to qualify for the main draw tournament.

Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Indian Wells, Zverev lost to Sinner in the semifinals in straight sets. Last season in Miami, the German lost to Fils in the fourth round in three tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Zverev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He played his best tennis last week in Indian Wells. If he serves well, we expect him to dominate on his serve and backhand side.

That being said, Zverev covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Zverev -4.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365

Michelsen – Norrie: 21.03.2026 19:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1

Alex Michelsen has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Indian Wells, Michelsen lost to Medvedev in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. This week in Miami, Michelsen demolished Bellucci in the opening round in straight sets.

Cameron Norrie has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Indian Wells, Norrie had a great run, eventually losing to Alcaraz in the quarterfinals. Last season in Miami, Yunchaokete upset him in the opening round.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Michelsen dominated in the opening round. On the other hand, Norrie is coming into this matchup after having an exhausting week in Indian Wells.

That being said, Michelsen winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alex Michelsen winning @1.67 @bet365

Moutet – Machac: 21.03.2026 17:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Corentin Moutet has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Phoenix, Moutet lost to Giron in the semifinals in three tight sets. Last season in Miami, the Frenchman lost to Tabilo in the second round.

Tomas Machac has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, the Czech defeated Nava in the opening round in three sets. Last season in Miami, Machac withdrew in the fourth round against Mensik. He was the quarterfinalist here in 2024.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Machac is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He looked rusty at the beginning of the match against Nava. However, after losing the opening set 2-6, the Czech stepped up his level and played his best tennis. If he plays like that in the second round, we expect him to get a comfortable win.

That being said, Machac winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Tomas Machac winning @1.53 @bet365