ATP Miami Best Bets Including Ben Shelton vs Alexander Shevchenko

The ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/32-finals keep shaping up with some clear spots. Humbert has the experience edge to bounce back here, Tiafoe should benefit from home support against an inconsistent Cazaux, and Shelton’s power game makes him tough to handle if he finds his rhythm.

ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/32-Finals

Diallo – Humbert: 21.03.2026 20:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Gabriel Diallo has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Diallo defeated Wu in straight sets. He offered and saved seven breakpoints.

Ugo Humbert has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, where he lost to Michelsen in the opening match in three tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Humbert is a better and more experienced player than Diallo, especially at the Masters 1000 level. We expect him to dominate and get a comfortable win.

That being said, Humbert winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Ugo Humbert winning @1.80 @bet365

Tiafoe – Cazaux: 21.03.2026 22:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Frances Tiafoe has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, where he lost to Zverev in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. Last season in Miami, Tiafoe lost to Fils in the third round in three sets.

Arthur Cazaux has won three of his last five matches. This is his debut campaign in the main draw tournament in Miami. In the opening round, the Frenchman defeated Barrios Vera in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Tiafoe is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He enjoys playing in Miami in front of the home crowd. Cazaux has had fitness issues since the beginning of the season and has played only a few competitive matches. We expect Tiafoe to be a better player tonight.

That being said, Tiafoe winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Frances Tiafoe winning @1.53 @bet365

Shelton – Shevchenko: 22.03.2026 00:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Ben Shelton has won four of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, where he lost to Tien in the third round in three sets. He has never made it past the third round here.

Alexander Shevchenko has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Shevchenko defeated Arnaldi in the opening round in three sets after playing for almost three hours. Last season in Miami, the Kazakh failed to qualify for the main draw tournament.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Shelton is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He will dominate the rallies, especially on his serve and forehand. We expect him to get a comfortable win.

That being said, Shelton covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Ben Shelton -4.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365