ATP Miami Best Bets Including Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Korda

The ATP Masters 1000 Miami moves into the 1/16-finals with some really interesting value spots. Korda looks sharp and could keep things close against Alcaraz. Collignon’s confidence from big wins this week makes him dangerous, and Quinn is on a serious run right now and has every chance to keep it going.

ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/16-Finals

Alcaraz – Korda: 22.03.2026 20:00 CEST
H2H: 4-1

Carlos Alcaraz has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Indian Wells, Alcaraz lost to Medvedev in the semifinals in straight sets. He was the champion here in 2022. This week in Miami, the Spaniard defeated Fonseca in the opening round in straight sets.

Sebastian Korda has won four of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Korda demolished Ugo Carabelli in straight sets in the opening match. Last season in Miami, the American lost to Djokovic in the quarterfinals.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Korda is the heavy underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Korda lost only three games against Ugo Carabelli in the opening match. If he serves well, we expect him to keep this match tight.

That being said, Korda covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Sebastian Korda +4.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Paul – Collignon: 22.03.2026 19:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Tommy Paul has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Paul defeated Mannarino in the opening match in three sets. He trailed 1-3 in the deciding set, but turned it around.

Raphael Collignon has won four of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Collignon upset Dimitrov in the opening round in three tight sets. In the second round, the Belgian won against Cobolli in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Paul is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Collignon played well in both matches this week. We believe Collignon will be confident coming into this match and will keep this match close.

That being said, Collignon covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Raphael Collignon +2.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365

Quinn – Lehecka: 22.03.2026 16:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Ethan Quinn has won seven straight matches. This week in Miami, Quinn upset Hurkacz in the opening round in straight sets. In the second round, Quinn defeated Ruud in straight sets, saving all six breakpoints. Last season in Miami, Quinn lost to Schoolkate in the opening round in straight sets.

Jiri Lehecka has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Lehecka defeated Kouame in the opening match in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving all three breakpoints.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Quinn is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He dominated for the past two weeks. En route to the third round, Quinn upset Hurkacz and Ruud in straight sets. We expect him to be a better player tonight.

That being said, Quinn winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Ethan Quinn winning @2.30 @bet365