
Nardi – Cobolli: 05.02.2026 16:00 CEST
H2H: 3-1
Luca Nardi has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Manama, Nardi reached the Challenger final, where he lost to Jacquet in three tight sets. The Italian hopes for a solid result this week to get into the top 100 in the rankings. In the opening main draw round, Nardi defeated Basilashvili in straight sets.
Flavio Cobolli has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost to Fery in the opening round in straight sets.
According to the bookies, Nardi is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Cobolli struggles on indoor courts. On the other hand, Nardi dominated in the opening round and leads 3-1 in head-to-head meetings.
That being said, Nardi winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Luca Nardi winning @2.20 @bet365
Auger-Aliassime – Wawrinka: 05.02.2026 18:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Felix Auger-Aliassime has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where the Canadian retired mid-match against Borges in the opening round.
Stanislas Wawrinka has won three of his last five matches. Stan has been granted a wild card for this week’s tournament in Montpellier. In the opening round, Wawrinka defeated Medjedovic in straight sets. Besides losing his serve once late in the second set, the Swiss served well throughout the match.
According to the bookies, Wawrinka is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Auger-Aliassime suffered a loss at the beginning of the season against Bergs in straight sets and retired mid-match against Borges. On the other hand, Wawrinka dominated in the opening round here and served well. We expect him to keep this match tight.
That being said, Wawrinka covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Stanislas Wawrinka +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Droguet – Kovacevic: 05.02.2026 13:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Titouan Drigouet has won four of his last five matches. This week in Montpellier, the Frenchman qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the opening main draw round, he defeated Choinski in straight sets easily. He offered and saved two breakpoints.
Aleksandar Kovacevic has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Quimper, Kovacevic lost to Droguet in the second round of the Challenger tournament. This week in Montpellier, Kovacevic defeated Kouame in three sets, after losing the opening set 6-7. Kovacevic finished as a runner-up last season in Montpellier. He lost to Auger-Aliassime in three tight sets in the final.
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Kovacevic has more experience than Drigouet at the ATP main tour level. A week ago, Droguet defeated Kovacevic in two tiebreaks. However, we expect Kovacevic to handle the pressure better this time and win.
That being said, Kovacevic winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Aleksandar Kovacevic winning @2.00 @bet365
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