
A week ago, Jakub Mensik was the heavy favorite in Jeddah, and Learner Tien was the inevitable challenger lurking just behind him. Now the heavy favorite role belongs to himself after Mensik pulled out of the event.
The American’s 2025 breakthrough wasn’t built on flash or power. It was constructed through something far more sustainable: complete, intelligent tennis. Melbourne announced his arrival. Walking onto Rod Laver Arena as an unknown, Tien bested Daniil Medvedev in an upset that sent shockwaves through the draw. This wasn’t a fluke or some hot day where everything clicked. It was a statement, a preview of what made him so dangerous.
Here’s what makes Tien an anomaly in modern tennis: he doesn’t possess an elite serve. In an era where big servers dominate, where 130 mph first serves have become table stakes, Tien shows up with something merely competent. There’s no overwhelming pace, rarely free points, essentially nothing that forces opponents into passive return positions.
Yet somehow, he wins anyway.
His genius lies in doing everything else exceptionally well. He’s not crushing forehands through the court, but his consistency wears opponents down. He doesn’t overpower; he outthinks. Every ball has purpose, every shot targets a specific weakness, making every point unfold according to a plan that’s three steps ahead of his opponent’s. It’s chess disguised as tennis, and it’s been remarkably effective.
The ranking climbed steadily throughout the year as wins accumulated. But Tien had a specific target in mind as the season wound down: securing a seeding spot at the Australian Open. Asia delivered solid results, then France provided the final push. Metz became the stage for his coronation, where he captured his maiden ATP title by defeating Cameron Norrie in the final.
The number next to his name told the story: 28, a career high, earned through relentless consistency rather than explosive brilliance. Now comes 2026, and with it, an entirely different challenge.
Success brings expectations. Rankings demand defending. Points that came easily the first time around suddenly become battlegrounds when opponents know what’s coming. This year won’t be about climbing anymore. It’s about proving last year wasn’t a ceiling but a foundation and that he belongs at this level permanently rather than as a visitor passing through.
Jeddah offers the perfect testing ground. The Next Gen Finals doesn’t carry Grand Slam pressure, but it’s far from meaningless. Tien understands this. He proved it last year when he reached the final, falling only to Joao Fonseca in a match that showcased both his ability and his limitations. Many expect him to finish what he started, to claim the title that narrowly escaped him twelve months ago.
Motivation won’t be an issue. Tien approaches tennis with a maturity that belies his age, treating every event with reverence and focus. He’s not the type to mail in performances or take opponents lightly. Every match matters.
The question mark hovering over his game remains unchanged from last year: that serve. At times it looked genuinely weak, vulnerable, a liability that forced him to be nearly perfect everywhere else just to stay competitive. Can he arrive in Jeddah with something sharper, something that doesn’t concede immediate pressure on every service game?
If he has, if he’s added even modest improvement to that one weakness, then the rest of the field might be in trouble. If not, well, we already know Tien can win without it. He’s been doing exactly that all year long.
More must-reads:
+
Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!