ATP Shanghai Best Bets Including Djokovic vs Hanfmann

ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai 1/16-Finals

Fritz – Mpetshi Perricard: 05.10.2025 08:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Taylor Fritz has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Tokyo, Fritz had a decent run. He finished as a runner-up, losing against Alcaraz in the final in straight sets. This week in Shanghai, Fritz defeated Marozsan in three tight sets.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard lost three of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, the Frenchman defeated Nardi in straight sets. Besides losing his serve in the second set, he dominated on his serve.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Mpetshi Perricard is the heavy underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Fritz struggled against Marozsan in the opening round. The Frenchman has a heavy serve, and if he serves well, we expect him to keep this match close.

That being said, Mpetshi Perricard covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard +2.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365

Nishioka – Munar: 05.10.2025 09:30 CEST
H2H: 1-1

Yoshihito Nishioka has won four of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, he qualified for the main draw tournament by winning both matches in straight sets. In the opening main draw round, Nishioka defeated Shevchenko in straight sets. He upset Rublev in the second round in three sets, after losing the opening set 2-6.

Jaume Munar has lost three of his last five matches. This is his third appearance in Shanghai. In the opening round, the Spaniard defeated Fucsovics in three tight sets. In the second round, Munar demolished Cobolli in straight sets. Last season in Shanghai, Munar lost to Lehecka in the second round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Munar is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Nishioka played terribly throughout the whole season. However, here in Shanghai, he played his best tennis and dominated the whole week. Munar is a better clay-court player than Nishioka, but on hard courts, we expect Nishioka to be a better player.

That being said, Nishioka winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Yoshihito Nishioka winning @2.50 @bet365

Hanfmann – Djokovic: 05.10.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Yannick Hanfmann has won four of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, Hanfmann defeated Mochizuki and Kubler in the qualifying tournament, both in straight sets. In the opening main draw round, the German defeated Sonego in three tight sets. After losing the opening round against Tiafoe, Hanfmann stepped up his level and turned the match around.

Novak Djokovic has won four of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, Djokovic won against Cilic in the second round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Djokovic is the heavy favourite in this matchup, but we partially disagree. Hanfmann won the second and third sets against Tiafoe 6-2, 6-1. If he serves well, we expect him to keep this match close against Djokovic, who is out of form.

That being said, Hanfmann covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Yannick Hanfmann +4.5 games handicap @2.20 @bet365