Goffin – Muller: 01.10.2025 06:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1
David Goffin has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, Goffin qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the opening main draw round, Goffin lost to Rinderknech in three tight sets. Last season in Shanghai, he lost in the quarterfinals against Fritz in straight sets.
Alexandre Muller has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, Muller lost to Marozsan in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. This will be his third appearance in Shanghai. Last season, Muller lost to Tsitsipas in the third round in straight sets.
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Goffin enjoys playing in Shanghai. He always performed well here. Other than that, the Belgian is a better hard-court player than Muller, and we expect him to get the win.
That being said, Goffin winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: David Goffin winning @1.91 @bet365
Munar – Fucsovics: 01.10.2025 06:30 CEST
H2H: 0-2
Jaume Munar has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Tokyo, Munar lost to Berrettini in the opening round in straight sets. This will be his third appearance in Shanghai. Last season in Shanghai, Munar lost to Lehecka in the second round in straight sets.
Marton Fucsovics has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Tokyo, Fucsovics lost to Nakashima in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. In his previous appearance in 2023, the Hungarian lost to Cerundolo in the third round in three tight sets. He has never made it past the third round here.
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Munar played poorly in the past two matches. On the other hand, Fucsovics played well in Tokyo. Just around a month ago in Winston-Salem, Fucsovics won in straight sets against Munar. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow.
That being said, Fucsovics winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Marton Fucsovics winning @1.73 @bet365
Ofner – Nardi: 01.10.2025 06:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Sebastian Ofner has lost seven straight matches. The last match he won was over two months ago at Wimbledon, where he reached the third round. The last match he played was at the US Open, where he lost against Ruud in the opening round in straight sets.
Luca Nardi has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Tokyo, Nardi failed to qualify for the main draw tournament. In the opening qualifying round, the Italian lost to Arnaldi in a three-set match.
According to the bookies, Ofner is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He is in terrible form, but this is an excellent opportunity for him to end his losing streak. He leads 2-0 in head-to-head meetings against Nardi, and we expect him to be a better player tomorrow.
That being said, Ofner winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Sebastian Ofner winning @2.20 @bet365
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