ATP Shanghai Best Bets Including Shelton vs Goffin

ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai 1/32-Finals

Bonzi – Diallo: 03.10.2025 06:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Benjamin Bonzi has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, Bonzi lost to Marozsan in the opening round in straight sets. This week in Shanghai, the Frenchman defeated Opelka in the opening round in straight sets.

Gabriel Diallo has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Tokyo, Diallo lost in the opening round against Fritz in three tight sets. Last season in Shanghai, the Canadian lost against Davidovich Fokina in the opening round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Bonzi is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He played his best tennis in the opening round against Opelka. The Frenchman has more experience at the Masters 1000 level. We expect him to keep this match close.

That being said, Bonzi covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Benjamin Bonzi +2.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365

Shelton – Goffin: 03.10.2025 06:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Ben Shelton has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the US Open, where he retired mid-match against Mannarino in the third round. This will be his third appearance. Last season in Shanghai, Shelton lost to Sinner in the fourth round.

David Goffin has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, Goffin qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the opening main draw round, Goffin lost to Rinderknech in three tight sets. This week in Shanghai, Goffin won against Muller in the opening round in three sets. Last season in Shanghai, he lost in the quarterfinals against Fritz in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Goffin is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Shelton has not played any competitive matches for over a month. On the other hand, Goffin demolished Muller in the second and third sets. Earlier this season in Acapulco, Goffin won against Shelton in straight sets. We expect a close match that could go either way.

That being said, Goffin covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: David Goffin +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Tiafoe – Hanfmann: 03.10.2025 06:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Frances Tiafoe has lost four straight matches. Last week in Tokyo, Tiafoe lost to Fucsovics in the opening round in a tight three-set match.

Yannick Hanfmann has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Jingshan, Hanfmann lost against Spizzirri in the semifinals of the Challenger tournament. This week in Shanghai, Hanfmann defeated Mochizuki and Kubler in the qualifying tournament, both in straight sets. In the opening main draw round, the German defeated Sonego in three tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Tiafoe is the slight favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Hanfmann dominated this week in Shanghai. He upset Sonego in the opening round, and if he serves well, we expect him to keep this match close.

That being said, Hanfmann covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Yannick Hanfmann +2.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365