ATP Shanghai Best Bets Including Sinner vs Altmaier

ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai 1/32-Finals

Rinderknech – Michelsen: 04.10.2025 08:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0

Arthur Rinderknech has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, Rinderknech lost to de Minaur in the 1/8-Finals in three tight sets. This week in Shanghai, Medjedovic retired mid-match against the Frenchman in the opening round.

Alex Michelsen has lost four straight matches. His last win was around two months ago in Cincinnati. The last match he played was in Tokyo, where he lost to Quinn in the opening round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Rinderknech is on the verge of breaking into the top 50 in the rankings and had a solid performance against Medjedovic. Last season, the Frenchman defeated Michelsen both times in straight sets. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow.

That being said, Rinderknech winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Arthur Rinderknech winning @1.80 @bet365

Borges – Tsitsipas: 04.10.2025 11:00 CEST
H2H: 0-2

Nuno Borges has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Tokyo, Borges lost to Fritz in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. This week in Shanghai, Borges won against van de Zandschulp in the opening round in straight sets. After playing for over two hours, Borges won in two tiebreaks.

Stefanos Tsitsipas has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in the Davis Cup, where he lost to Fonseca in three tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Tsitsipas is in bad form, but he is still a better hard-court player than Borges. He dominated in both head-to-head meetings. We expect the same outcome tomorrow.

That being said, Tsitsipas winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Stefanos Tsitsipas winning @1.62 @bet365

Altmaier – Sinner: 04.10.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 1-1

Daniel Altmaier has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Tokyo, Altmaier lost to Vukic in the second round in straight sets. This is his second appearance in Shanghai. In 2023, the German lost to Nishioka in the opening round in three tight sets. This week in Shanghai, Altmaier defeated Schoolkate in straight sets.

Jannik Sinner has won five straight matches. Last week in Beijing, Sinner won the title, defeating Tien in the final in straight sets. En route to the title, the Italian dropped a set against Atmane and de Minaur. Sinner is the defending champion in Shanghai. Last season, Sinner defeated Djokovic in the final in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Sinner is the heavy favourite in this matchup, and we agree. We just can not see how Altmaier can match him. Sinner has all the weapons and is in great form. We expect him to win easily.

That being said, Sinner covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Jannik Sinner -5.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365