Comesana – Musetti: 04.10.2025 08:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Francisco Comesana has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played before the ATP Shanghai was in the Davis Cup against the Netherlands. He lost to de Jong in straight sets. This week in Shanghai, Comesana defeated Blanchet in the opening round in straight sets. He was solid under pressure, saving three out of four breakpoints.
Lorenzo Musetti has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, Musetti retired mid-match against Tien in the quarterfinals.
According to the bookies, Musetti is the heavy favourite in this matchup, and we agree. If they had played on clay, Comesana would have had some chances. However, at this moment, on this surface, we expect Musetti to be a better player.
That being said, Musetti covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Lorenzo Musetti -3.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
De Jong – Mensik: 04.10.2025 08:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Jesper de Jong has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, de Jong failed to qualify for the main draw tournament. In the opening main draw round, the Dutchman defeated Zhou in three tight sets, after playing for almost three hours.
Jakub Mensik has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, Mensik retired mid-match against de Minaur in the quarterfinals.
According to the bookies, Mensik is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a prominent top 20 player and enjoys playing on fast courts. On the other hand, de Jong struggled against Zhou, who is ranked outside the top 300. We expect a decent performance from Mensik and an easy win.
That being said, Mensik covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jakub Mensik -3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Zverev – Royer: 04.10.2025 08:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Alexander Zverev has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, Zverev lost to Medvedev in the quarterfinals in straight sets. He was the finalist here in 2019. Last season, the German lost to Goffin in the fourth round in straight sets.
Valentin Royer has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Hangzhou, Royer played in the final. He lost to Bublik in two tiebreaks. This week in Shanghai, the Frenchman qualified for the main draw tournament by winning both matches in straight sets. In the opening main draw round, Royer defeated Navone in three tight sets.
According to the bookies, Royer is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He is in the form of his life. On the other hand, Zverev once again disappointed against Medvedev last week. Royer will enter this matchup with full confidence, and we expect him to keep the match close.
That being said, Royer covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Valentin Royer +3.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365
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