ATP Tokyo Best Bets Including Munar vs Berrettini

ATP 500 Tokyo 1/16-Finals

Medjedovic – Rune: Time TBA
H2H: 1-0

Hamad Medjedovic has won three of his last five matches. Last week in the Davis Cup, Erel retired mid-match against Medjedovic. This will be his debut campaign in Tokyo. The Serb hopes for a solid result this week to get closer to the top 50 in the rankings.

Holger Rune has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in the Laver Cup, Rune lost to Cerundolo in straight sets. Last season in Tokyo, the Dane lost to Fils in the semifinals in straight sets. This will be his second appearance in Tokyo.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Medjedovic is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Rune played poorly in the Laver Cup. At the beginning of the season, Medjedovic defeated Rune in the Davis Cup in three sets. He has all the weapons to control the game. We expect Medjedovic to keep this match tight.

That being said, Medjedovic covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Hamad Medjedovic +2.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Munar – Berrettini: 24.09.2025 04:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Jaume Munar has won three of his last five matches. Last week in the Davis Cup, the Spaniard lost to Moller in three tight sets. This will be his second appearance in Tokyo. In his debut campaign in 2022, Munar lost to Martinez Portero in the second round in three tight sets.

Matteo Berrettini has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Hangzhou, Berrettini played his first competitive match since the Wimbledon tournament. In the opening round, the Italian was upset by Svrcina in straight sets. Last season in Tokyo, Berrettini retired mid-match against Fils in the opening round.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Munar played well on fast courts this season. Berrettini struggled with his form throughout the whole season. We expect Munar to be a better player and win. Berrettini is far from his best level.

That being said, Munar winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Jaume Munar winning @1.73 @bet365

Nishioka – Darderi: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting

Yoshihito Nishioka has lost eight straight matches. His last win was two months ago in Washington. Last week in the Davis Cup, Nishioka lost to Struff in three tight sets. He needs to start winning if he wants to climb back into the top 100 rankings.

Luciano Darderi has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Chengdu, Draderi lost against Tabilo in the opening match in straight sets. A week before, the Italian won the Challenger title in Genova on clay.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Darderi is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Nishioka is in terrible form and has been winless for two months. The Italian is a clay-court specialist, but he had several solid matches on hard courts this season. We expect him to perform better in this matchup.

That being said, Darderi winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Luciano Darderi winning @1.57 @bet365