ATP US Open Best Bets Including Paul vs Borges

ATP US Open 1/32-Finals

Safiullin – Auger-Aliassime: 28.08.2025 22:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Roman Safiullin has lost three of his last five matches. This week in New York, Safiullin defeated Monfils in the opening round in five tight sets.

Felix Auger-Aliassime has won four of his last five matches. The last match he played before the US Open was in Cincinnati, where Sinner demolished him in the quarterfinals. In the past two editions, the Canadian exited both times in the opening round. This week, Auger-Aliassime won against Harris in the opening round in straight sets. He trailed 3-5 and saved three set points in the second set.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Auger-Aliassime is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. The Canadian has been inconsistent throughout the season. Safiullin is always a dangerous opponent on hard courts. We expect a tight match that could go either way.

That being said, Safiullin covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Roman Safiullin +4.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Tsitsipas – Altmaier: 28.08.2025 22:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0

Stefanos Tsitsipas has lost three of his last five matches. He is in terrible form and no longer a top-20 player. Last week in Winston-Salem, Tsitsipas lost against Bu in the opening match in straight sets. He has never made it past the third round in New York. This week, Tsitsipas defeated Muller in the opening round in four sets. After losing the opening set 4-6, Tsitsipas stepped up his level and turned the match around.

Daniel Altmaier has lost three of his last five matches. The German won the opening round at the US Open against Medjedovic in five sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Tsitsipas is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Once he lost the opening set against Muller, Tsitsipas started serving well and played his best tennis. We expect him to be a better player tonight and win easily.

That being said, Tsitsipas covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Stefanos Tsitsipas -4.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Borges – Paul: 29.08.2025 02:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Nuno Borges has lost three of his last five matches. This week in New York, Borges demolished Holt in the opening round in straight sets. He dominated from start to finish.

Tommy Paul has won three of his last five matches. He has never made it past the fourth round at the US Open. This week, Paul demolished Moller in the opening round in straight sets. He offered no breakpoints. Last season, the American lost against Sinner in the fourth round.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Paul is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He was sharp in the opening round and will have a packed crowd on his side. Borges is a solid player, but he lacks the weapons to match the Americans’ game. We expect Paul to win easily tonight.

That being said, Paul covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Tommy Paul -5.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365