ATP Vienna Best Bets Including Berrettini vs Norrie

ATP 500 Vienna 1/8-Finals

Berrettini – Norrie: 23.10.2025 12:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0

Matteo Berrettini has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Stockholm, Berrettini lost to Humbert in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. This is his fourth appearance in Vienna. He has never made it past the semifinals here. In the opening round, he defeated Popyrin in straight sets. Last season, the Italian lost to Khachanov in the quarterfinals.

Cameron Norrie has lost three of his last five matches. So far this season, the Brit has not had any remarkable results on hard courts. This week in Vienna, Norrie defeated Rublev in the opening match in three sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Both Norrie and Berrettini have a weak backhand. However, Berrettini has a better forehand and serve, which are crucial on indoor hard courts. He leads 2-0 in head-to-head meetings against Norrie, and we expect him to win.

That being said, Berrettini winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Matteo Berrettini winning @1.73 @bet365

Medvedev – Moutet: 23.10.2025 13:30 CEST
H2H: 2-2

Daniil Medvedev has won five straight matches. Last week in Almaty, Medvedev won the ATP 250 title. It is his first ATP title after two and a half years. Around this time last season, the Russian played in Paris, where Popyrin upset him in the opening round. This week in Vienna, Medvedev defeated Borges in the opening match in three sets.

Corentin Moutet has won four of his last five matches. This week in Vienna, Moutet demolished Dzumhur in the opening match in straight sets. He offered and saved two breakpoints.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Moutet is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He dominated in the opening match against Moutet. In both head-to-head meetings this season, it was tough. We expect a tight match that could go either way.

That being said, Moutet covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Corentin Moutet +3.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365

Arnaldi – Zverev: 23.10.2025 15:00 CEST
H2H: 0-2

Matteo Arnaldi has won three of his last five matches. This week in Vienna, the Italian qualified for the main draw tournament by winning both matches in straight sets. In the opening main draw round, Arnaldi defeated Kovacevic in straight sets easily.

Alexander Zverev has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Saudi Arabia, Zverev lost against Fritz in the opening match of an exhibition tournament. He is the second seed this week in Vienna. In the opening main draw round, Zverev outlasted Fearnley in three tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Zverev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He recently dominated Arnaldi in Toronto. Zverev started slowly this week, but he is still one of the biggest favourites to win the title this week. He is a better hard-court player than Arnaldi, and we expect him to win.

That being said, Zverev covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Zverev -3.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365