ATP Vienna Best Bets Including Musetti vs Tsitsipas

ATP 500 Vienna 1/16-Finals

Cerundolo – Michelsen: 21.10.2025 17:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Francisco Cerundolo has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Shanghai, where he lost to Bergs in the third round in straight sets. Around this time last season, the Argentine played in Basel, where he lost to Tsitsipas in the opening round in three tight sets.

Alex Michelsen has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Almaty, Michelsen lost to Moutet in the semifinals, losing in straight sets. This will be his second appearance in Vienna. Last season, the American lost to Giron in the opening round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Michelsen had a solid run last week in Almaty under similar conditions. He already defeated Cerundolo this season once. On the other hand, the Argentine has not played any competitive matches for the past three weeks. We expect Michelsen to be a better player tonight.

That being said, Michelsen winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alex Michelsen winning @1.80 @bet365

Tsitsipas – Musetti: 21.10.2025 17:30 CEST
H2H: 5-2

Stefanos Tsitsipas has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Saudi Arabia, Tsitsipas played in an exhibition tournament. He lost to Sinner in straight sets. Around this time last season, the Greek played in Basel, where Fils stopped him in the quarterfinals.

Lorenzo Musetti has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Brussels, Musetti lost to Mpetshi Perricard in the quarterfinals in straight sets. Last season in Vienna, Musetti lost to Draper in the semifinals in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Tsitsipas is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He is in bad form, but he is still a solid player with a heavy serve. He leads 5-2 in head-to-head meetings against Musetti. Especially on hard courts, we expect him to keep this match close.

That being said, Tsitsipas covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Stefanos Tsitsipas +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Fearnley – Zverev: 21.10.2025 20:15 CEST
H2H: 0-3

Jacob Fearnley has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Stockholm, the Brit lost to Ymer in the second round in straight sets. This week in Vienna, Fearnley won both qualifying matches in straight sets and qualified for the main draw tournament.

Alexander Zverev has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Saudi Arabia, Zverev lost against Fritz in the opening match of an exhibition tournament. He is the second seed this week in Vienna.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Zverev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He faced Fearnley three times this season already and won all three meetings in straight sets. This season at the US Open, the German defeated Fearnley in straight sets. We expect a similar outcome tonight.

That being said, Zverev covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Zverev -3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365