ATP Washington Best Bets Including Shelton vs Davidovich Fokina

ATP 500 Washington semifinals

Moutet – De Minaur: 27.07.2025 01:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Corentin Moutet has won four of his last five matches. This week in Washington, Moutet failed to qualify for the main draw tournament.  In the final qualifying round, Moutet lost against Wu in three tight sets. However, with several players withdrawing from the tournament, he entered the main draw as a lucky loser. The Frenchman demolished Muller in the opening round 6-0, 6-1 within an hour.  In the second round, Moutet won against Evans in straight sets. After losing his serve twice in the second set, he kept his composure and still won. Yesterday, in the quarterfinals, the Frenchman upset Medvedev in three tight sets.

Alex de Minaur has won four of his last five matches. His last match before the ATP Washington event was at Wimbledon, where he lost to Djokovic in the quarterfinals. His last appearance in Washington was in 2022, when he lost to Nishioka in the second round. This week, de Minaur defeated Bu in straight sets easily. Besides losing his serve once in the opening set, the Australian served great. In the second round, de Minaur defeated Lehecka in three tight sets after playing for almost three hours. In the deciding set, he dominated and won deservedly. Yesterday, in the quarterfinals, the Australian defeated Nakashima in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, de Minaur is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He played his best tennis so far in Washington. On the other hand, Moutet had already struggled in the qualifying tournament. He had a physically exhausting match against Medvedev yesterday. We expect de Minaur to be a better player tonight and win easily.

That being said, de Minaur covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alex de Minaur -4.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365

Davidovich Fokina – Shelton: 27.07.2025 02:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Los Cabos, the Spaniard lost against Duckworth in the opening round. This week, he defeated Munar in the opening round in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving five out of six breakpoints. Tien stood no chance in the 1/8-Finals against Davidovich Fokina. The Spaniard won 6-2, 6-2, offering only one breakpoint. In the quarterfinals, Alejandro upset Fritz in three tight sets.

Ben Shelton has won four of his last five matches. This week in Washington, Shelton defeated McDonald in straight sets. He served great, not offering any breakpoints. In the second round, he defeated Diallo in straight sets easily. Shelton played his best tennis and dominated from start to finish. His serve was untouchable, not offering any breakpoints. In the quarterfinals, the American won against Tiafoe in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Shelton is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He will have a packed crowd on his side, and with his current form, we expect him to get the job done easily.

That being said, Shelton covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Ben Shelton -2.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365