Shelton – Tiafoe: 26.07.2025 01:00 CEST
H2H: 2-1
Ben Shelton has won four of his last five matches. This week in Washington, Shelton defeated McDonald in straight sets. He served great, not offering any breakpoints. In the second round, he defeated Diallo in straight sets easily. Shelton played his best tennis and dominated from start to finish. His serve was untouchable, not offering any breakpoints. Last season in Washington, the American had a decent run, reaching the semifinals. He eventually lost to Cobolli in three tight sets.
Frances Tiafoe has won three of his last five matches. His last match before the ATP event in Washington was at Wimbledon, where he lost to Norrie in the second round in four tight sets. This week in Washington, Tiafoe had a rough opening round against Kovacevic. After playing for around two hours, he defeated Kovacevic in three tight sets. He served great in the deciding set, not offering any breakpoints. In the 1/8-Finals, Cobolli stood no chance against Tiafoe. Besides losing his serve at the beginning of the match, Tiafoe served great. Cobolli is in great form, but the American was unplayable, winning in straight sets easily.
According to the bookies, Shelton is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Both Americans dominated this week in Washington. They know each other well, and we expect a tight match that could go either way. In their last head-to-head meeting, Tiafoe defeated Shelton in five tight sets at the US Open. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow.
That being said, Tiafoe covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Frances Tiafoe +2.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Fritz – Davidovich Fokina: 26.07.2025 02:30 CEST
H2H: 4-3
Taylor Fritz has won four of his last five matches. His last match before the ATP Washington was at Wimbledon, where he had a decent run, reaching the semifinals. This week in Washington, Fritz demolished Vukic in straight sets in the opening round. He dropped only five games, while saving only one breakpoint. In the 1/8-Finals, the American once again saved all four breakpoints, while dropping only seven games throughout the match.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Los Cabos, the Spaniard lost against Duckworth in the opening round. This week, he defeated Munar in the opening round in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving five out of six breakpoints. Tien stood no chance in the 1/8-Finals against Davidovich Fokina. The Spaniard won 6-2, 6-2, offering only one breakpoint. Last season in Washington, he lost against Cobolli in the 1/8-Finals.
According to the bookies, Fritz is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is one of the best players and enjoys playing in the States. Davidovich Fokina had a solid run so far, but he also had a favourable draw. We expect Fritz to dominate tonight and win easily.
That being said, Fritz winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Taylor Fritz winning 2-0 @1.83 @bet365
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