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Emma Raducanu and the Pattern of False Starts
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports

Emma Raducanu won her opening round match at the 2026 Australian Open with relative ease, and the familiar cycle began again. This is the time of year when Raducanu’s supporters emerge with renewed optimism, wondering if this might finally be the moment she recaptures something resembling her 2021 US Open form.

The hope is understandable. Since that stunning breakthrough in New York, Raducanu has never managed a meaningful run at any tournament. She’s had occasional bright moments scattered across four years, but consistency has remained elusive. Poor form and recurring injuries have defined her post-slam career more than any actual tennis achievements.

So when she won her first match convincingly, people allowed themselves to believe. Maybe this would be the tournament where she strung together enough quality performances to reach the second week. The answer came quickly in the second round against Anastasia Potapova.

No. This wasn’t that time either.

How She Lost Matters More Than the Loss Itself

The most troubling aspect of Raducanu’s exit wasn’t the result but the manner of defeat. After all, losing exposes problems far deeper than technique or shot selection. What happened on court suggested something more fundamental: a lack of willingness to compete when things turned difficult.

Potapova is a capable player, streaky and inconsistent but dangerous when she finds rhythm. She’s troubled far better players than Raducanu, with wins over names like Coco Gauff proving she can rise to the occasion. Still, this was a winnable match for the British player.

The first set told one story. Both players struggled to hold serve through the opening five games, trading breaks in a chaotic back-and-forth. Raducanu eventually settled down and took control, building a lead and holding it to 5-3. She was one service game away from taking the set.

Serving at 5-4, she won the opening point. Then she lost four straight. The lifeline went to Potapova, who seized it without hesitation. The Russian took the tiebreak 7-3, riding momentum that Raducanu had simply handed over.

The second set revealed the real problem. Potapova dominated, but Raducanu’s response was what raised concerns. She wasn’t competing at full intensity. Multiple times during rallies, she appeared to give up before points had actually ended, her effort visibly diminishing mid-exchange. For a player whose commitment to the sport has been questioned repeatedly over the years, these moments looked damning.

Losing to Potapova isn’t a disaster on its own. The lack of fight in the second set is what lingers as a genuine concern.

The Persistent Questions

Raducanu has remained an enigma throughout the years since her US Open triumph. If you tried to assess her true commitment to professional tennis, you’d struggle to find a clear answer. She hasn’t improved significantly as a player despite having ample time to develop. The stagnation naturally raises questions about training intensity and focus.

Her fitness issues persist, which prompts further doubt about whether she’s doing the necessary work away from competition. The ongoing speculation about her prioritizing brand deals over practice seems less like gossip and more like legitimate concern with each disappointing result. Essentially, a cloud of uncertainty surrounds everything she does.

What comes next is impossible to predict with confidence. Success might still be possible if something changes dramatically in her approach. But if things continue as they have, the pattern will simply repeat. The excitement that briefly flared after her first-round win has already faded, replaced by the familiar disappointment that has come to define her post-2021 career.

That US Open title looks more anomalous with each passing tournament. What once seemed like a breakthrough now increasingly resembles an outlier, a perfect storm of circumstance that she’s been unable to replicate or build upon. Unless something fundamental shifts in her commitment and approach, that’s how history will remember it.

Time will tell if she can prove otherwise. But the evidence keeps pointing in the same direction.

This article first appeared on Last Word On Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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