The Asian swing of the ATP and WTA Tours can be overlooked, coming as it does between the end of the US Open, the final Major of the year, and the end of the season, especially the tour finals events and the Davis Cup final. Yet it can be an incredibly important part of the tennis calendar, providing invaluable pointers for the future. For example, Jannik Sinner’s China Open win in Beijing in 2023 was arguably the springboard for all the Major Singles titles and Davis Cup triumphs that have followed.
So what pointers for the 2026 season has the 2025 Asian Swing offered? Here are five takeaways.
Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner have dominated men’s tennis for the last two years, neatly splitting all of the last eight Majors between them with four wins apiece. In the process, they have arguably separated themselves more from the rest of the ATP Tour than even The Big Three achieved at their peak, such that the “New Two” have perhaps become “The Huge Two”.
And yet even Alcaraz and Sinner seem to be feeling the pressure of the new and more intense tennis tours that we have seen over the last 18 months or so, principally because of the expansion of ATP Masters and WTA 1000 events to two-week tournaments, which has further compressed the already jam-packed tennis year.
Both men began the Asian Swing supremely well, with Alcaraz winning in Tokyo and Sinner triumphing in Beijing. Subsequently, however, they have both been unable to remain in Asia. Having experienced a major injury scare early on in Tokyo, after jarring his knee during his first-round match, Alcaraz probably wisely withdrew from the Shanghai Masters. And although Sinner did make it to Shanghai, he had to retire from his third-round match against Tallon Griekspoor with a leg injury.
So many top women (including Elina Svitolina, Beatrice Haddad Maia and most recently Daria Kasatkina) have already curtailed their season, citing exhaustion or even fear of burn-out. However, if the very best men, namely Alcaraz and Sinner, start to experience similar issues, then both the ATP and WTA Tours will surely have to reconsider the recent changes that have been made to the biggest events outside the Majors. The result was supposed to be “Mini-Slams”, but in reality the changes seem to be causing major problems.
Amanda Anisimova has probably been the most consistently successful female tennis player in the second half of 2025, reaching two successive Major Singles finals (at Wimbledon and the US Open), qualifying for the end-of-season tour finals event and now winning the China Open in Beijing to claim her second WTA 1000 title, after winning the Qatar Open in April.
What was perhaps most impressive about Anisimova’s victory in Beijing was that she exhibited completely different characteristics in different matches. In the semi-final against Coco Gauff and final against Linda Noskova, she was at her absolute battering-ram-with-a-great-backhand best, swatting both those opponents aside for the cumulative loss of just a single set. Yet earlier in the tournament, she had shown hugely impressive resilience and sheer fighting spirit, first withstanding a Karolína Muchová masterclass (reminiscent of Muchová’s magical run at the 2024 US Open) and then narrowly edging an equally close match against Jasmine Paolini.
It is instructive to compare Anisimova with Paolini, because the Italian also reached two Major Singles finals in 2024, at the French Open and Wimbledon. However, whereas she has been unable to replicate that form in 2025 (other than recently in Shengzhen, when she helped Italy to retain the Billie-Jean King Cup), it seems likely that Anisimova will not only match her 2025 feats in 2026 but improve upon them by winning a Major.
It says everything about Alcaraz and Sinner’s current domination of men’s tennis that Alexander Zverev remains the third highest-ranked man in the ATP Pepperstone rankings. That is despite the fact that he has endured a largely miserable 2025, the high-point of which seems likely to be his performance at the start of it, when he reached the Australian Open final. However, he was dismissed so easily by Jannik Sinner in that final that the idea it represents a high-point is itself absurd. And Zverev’s defeat to Arthur Rinderknech at the Shanghai Masters was just the latest in a long line of recent defeats to men he would once have beaten in straightforward fashion, if not straight sets.
Zverev is probably the biggest victim of the great “Changeover” in men’s tennis in recent years, to cite the title of Giri Nathan’s new book about how the Alcaraz-Sinner duopoly has replaced the great Trivalry of Djokovic, Nadal and Federer. Having emerged as a virtual child prodigy towards the end of the Big Three era (albeit one who had benefited hugely from having followed an older brother on tour for many years), Zverev seemed best-placed to replace The Big Three when they finally called it a day. Instead, he has been completely usurped by Alcaraz and Sinner.
Zverev will be 29 next April and although The Big Three demonstrated that tennis players can now play on until they are nearer 40 than 30, it will be doubtful how long Zverev will want to continue playing unless he can radically improve his game and finally challenge Alcaraz and Sinner in the biggest events and the biggest finals. Yet that scenario looks more remote than ever after a year in which the obvious limitations of his game, especially in comparison with the all-court and all-surface games of Alcaraz and Sinner, have been brutally exposed.
The greatest and most universally applicable quotation is probably Oscar Wilde’s famous line from The Importance of Being Earnest: “To lose one parent, Mr. Worthing, may be regarded as a misfortune; to lose both looks like carelessness.” It can be used to describe almost anything, from the fortunes (or otherwise) of US presidential candidates to the recent fortunes of Emma Raducanu.
Next year, it will be five years since Raducanu achieved her own personal Fairytale of New York and won the 2021 US Open as a qualifier. Since then, of course, she has been beset by injury and coaching issues and it is only in the last 18 months that she has suggested that she can get anywhere near the world’s top 20, let alone challenge for a Major Singles title again.
However, recent events in Asia seem to have stymied her recent surge of form, because she has twice collapsed in the final set against higher-ranked opposition after failing to take match-points against them: first against Barbora Krejcikova in Korea; and then against Jessica Pegula in Beijing. And perhaps the most disappointing aspect of both losses was that on both occasions she virtually collapsed in the final set, losing 6-1 against Krejcikova and then being bagelled against Pegula.
Raducanu is proving all the potential that she still possesses by getting into such advantageous, indeed match-winning positions against vaunted opponents, but she must learn how to close out such matches. And at the very least, she must not keep collapsing completely in final sets but somehow find a way to remain competitive in them, whatever her disappointment about failing to take match-points.
The Next Gen Finals, which only began in 2017, had appeared to be a sure-fire predictor of future success, given that both Jannik Sinner (the winner in 2019) and Carlos Alcaraz (the winner in 2021) were among its earliest champions. In recent years, however, the Next Gen pipeline of future champions has slowed down considerably, with none of the last three winners of the event (Brandon Nakashima, Hamad Medjedovic and João Fonseca) achieving anything like the success that both Sinner and Alcaraz achieved almost immediately after their Next Gen victories.
Fonseca was probably the most highly-fancied of those three most recent winners. However, it was actually the young man he beat in the 2024 Next Gen final, the USA’s Learner Tien, who has arguably made the biggest strides of any “Next-Genner” since Sinner and Alcaraz. Put simply, Tien has had a fairly stellar 2025. It began with his beating Daniil Medvedev at the Australian Open, less than a month after reaching the 2024 Next Gen final, and it has largely continued on an upward trajectory ever since, culminating in his reaching the China Open final against Sinner last week.
However, Tien was relatively easily beaten by Sinner in that final and it remains questionable whether he has the “weapons” (principally, a big enough serve and forehand) to really challenge Alcaraz and Sinner at the top of the men’s game. Nevertheless, given that he has already proven that he is a super-quick Learner both by name and nature, it is not inconceivable that he will continue to develop apace – and probably much faster than his Next Gen contemporaries.
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