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Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.: Who Wins?

Originally posted on Fights Around The World
By Michael Woods | Last updated Jun 26, 2025 3:35 PM ET

Time, they say, is a b*tch. Usually, more so, the “they” is someone who has been affected. Often, someone coming off a defeat, or a not-gentle reminder that as we age, faculties and abilities diminish. That all comes to mind as I assess the Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. clash, which is to unfold Saturday in California.

FightsATW will be on site to document.

Jake “The Problem Child” Paul is out of Ohio, repping Puerto Rico and the “influencer” cultural dynamic, which has made Jake the best-known active American boxer. He is 28 years old, at or near the physical prime of his time on earth.

Jake Is The Bigger Guy With Longer Reach

With a 6-1/76 inch reach vessel, Jake holds a 12-1 mark as a bro pugilist. His genes, by the way, are in the “great” realm. For having picked it up in 2018, the former child actor/YouTuber has made more strides than anyone would have imagined when he was feuding with KSI.

His brother Logan, by the way, is the best natural athlete on the WWE network.

Junior Has Been In Rehab

On the other side is “Jackpot Junior,” the not-unpredictable Julio Cesar Chavez. “Problem Child” has been a relevant tag in his realm.

The son of the most renowned boxer in Mexico’s history, Julio Cesar Chavez, is 39 years old, a solid decade plus away from his athletic prime.

Mentally, he’s more aged than that, as for much of his life, he has struggled with his concept of self aside from being the son of an icon. Time has been kinder to Jake than “Jackpot,” who boasts a rap sheet and track record of misstepping in both public and private life.

Those pondering laying a wager on Paul vs. Chavez Jr. should know he is an inch shorter than the Paul kid, with three inches less in reach.

Brain Over Body

Physical is of less import, though, than the mental. Junior’s positive momentum peak as an athlete came around 2011.

At middleweight, he scored Ws over John Duddy, Peter Manfredo, Marco Antonio Rubio, and Andy Lee-solid campaigners. His pop felt pride. When losses arrived, though, to Sergio Martinez and Canelo Alvarez, the son of the legend found it hard to handle. He looked to lessen the sting in liquid, powdered, or whatever form. The son of Mexico’s favorite fighting son had been humbled. At the time Jake picked up gloves, Junior was a running joke, sad to say.

No Upset In Play?

Chavez Jr. holds a 54-6-1 record going into the DAZN PPV engagement. And, I believe, only a slim shot at firing a middle finger at Father Time (and for real father!?) in Anaheim.

Don’t expect the son of the legend to pull off the upset, but do entertain the potential for a “No Mas” stool job, or DQ ballyhoo.