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Nonito Donaire vs. Andres Campos: Predictions, Betting Odds, and Stats Comparison | Expert Preview

Originally posted on BoxingNews.com | Last updated Jun 8, 2025 4:01 PM ET

Fight Introduction

The legendary Nonito Donaire (42-8, 28 KOs) returns to the ring against Chile’s Andres Campos (17-2-1, 6 KOs) in a high-stakes bantamweight showdown on Saturday, June 14, 2025. The vacant WBA Interim World Bantamweight Championship will be on the line at Casino Buenos Aires, Argentina, in a clash that pits youth against elite experience. With Donaire seeking redemption after recent losses and Campos eyeing a career-defining upset, this 118-pound battle promises fireworks.

Fighter Profiles

Nonito Donaire

Key Strengths:

Legendary knockout power (67% KO rate)
Elite-level experience (50 professional fights)
Superior reach and technical boxing IQ

Weaknesses:

Age (42) and recent durability concerns
Lost 3 of last 5 fights, including two stoppages

Recent Form: L (UD12) ❌ | L (TKO2) ❌ | W (KO4) ✅ | W (KO4) ✅ | L (UD12) ❌
Style: Orthodox technician with fight-ending left hooks. Known for timing and counter-punching brilliance.Andres Campos

Key Strengths:

Youth advantage (14 years younger)
Solid fundamentals and work rate
Momentum from recent TKO win

Weaknesses:

Limited power (35% KO rate)
Untested against elite competition

Recent Form: W (TKO3) ✅ | L (TKO6) ❌ | D (MD12) ➖ | W (KO8) ✅ | L (UD12) ❌
Style: Conservative orthodox boxer favoring volume over power. Excels in mid-range exchanges.

Stats Comparison Table

Stat	Nonito Donaire	Andres Campos	Advantage
Age	42	28	Campos
Height	5’5″ (166 cm)	5’3″ (161 cm)	Donaire
Reach	68.1″ (173 cm)	64.6″ (164 cm)	Donaire
Record	42-8-0	17-2-1	Donaire
Knockout %	67%	35%	Donaire
Professional Rounds	311	140	Donaire
Stance	Orthodox	Orthodox	Even

Nonito Donaire vs Andres Campos Predictions & Betting Odds

Odds analysis (hypothetical based on stats and form):

Nonito Donaire: -350 Favorite (Implied 78% win probability)
Andres Campos: +280 Underdog (Implied 26% win probability)

Key Betting Insights:

Donaire’s 67% KO rate makes him a heavy favorite for a stoppage victory
Campos’ youth and durability suggest potential value in “Fight Goes Distance” markets
Significant experience gap favors Donaire in championship rounds

Always check regulated sportsbooks for latest odds before wagering.

How to Watch

Date: Saturday, June 14, 2025
Ringwalk Time: 12:00 AM UTC / 8:00 PM EST / 5:00 PM PST / 1:00 AM BST (next day)
Location: Casino Buenos Aires, Argentina
Weight Class: Bantamweight (118 lbs)
Broadcast: To be confirmed (Check local listings)

Expert Round-by-Round Analysis

Simulated fight progression based on styles and tendencies:

Rounds 1-2: Campos starts aggressively behind his jab, but Donaire’s 3-inch reach advantage controls distance. Donaire lands signature counter hooks to body.

Rounds 3-4: Campos increases volume, testing Donaire’s stamina. Donaire responds with precision power shots, visibly hurting Campos late in Round 4.

Rounds 5-6: Donaire systematically breaks down Campos’ defense. Campos shows resilience but struggles with Donaire’s timing and power differential.

Rounds 7-8: Accumulating damage takes toll on Campos. Donaire targets the body to slow younger fighter’s movement.

Rounds 9-10: Donaire’s experience shines as he counters Campos’ fatigue. Campos survives but shows significant wear.

Rounds 11-12: Either Campos rallies desperately or Donaire closes show – outcome hinges on durability.

Who Will Win?

Prediction: Nonito Donaire by late TKO (Rounds 9-11)
Why:

Power Disparity: Donaire’s 67% KO rate dwarfs Campos’ 35%
Technical Edge: +3 inch reach advantage and superior ring IQ
Championship Experience: 311 professional rounds vs Campos’ 140
Stoppage Vulnerability: Campos was TKO’d in his last loss

Statistical model gives Donaire 75% win probability (60% by KO/TKO, 15% by decision). Campos’ path requires outlasting Donaire and winning on volume – a tall order against an all-time great.