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Let's examine SEC challengers for Georgia, Alabama
LSU QB Joe Burrow was spectacular in a win at Texas, throwing for 471 yards. Scott Wachter-USA TODAY Sports

Let's examine SEC challengers for Georgia, Alabama

In One-On-One, Yardbarker's Michael Weinreb and Kate Rooney address the hottest issues in college football. This week's topic: Can anyone challenge Alabama and Georgia in the SEC?

Rooney: As we approach Week 3,  there's a lot that can still be left up to our imaginations. Maybe Florida State will wade out of its early-season quagmire and be a thorn in Dabo Swinney's side in the ACC Atlantic division. Maybe Lynn Swann's sudden "resignation" as USC athletic director is a sign of a turning of the tide for the Trojans. But there's one takeaway that seems significantly less spurious: The SEC is still king of the Power 5. No. 1 Clemson is defending champion, but the other three schools in the top four are from the SEC, the conference with more playoff wins than any other: No. 2 Alabama, No. 3 Georgia and No. 4 LSU.

I may overuse the term "statement win," but that's exactly what LSU's 45-38 victory over Texas was. Joe Burrow (31-for-39 for 471 yards) was darn good last season, but now he looks like the best quarterback the Tigers have had in years.

Auburn is ranked No. 8 and Florida at No. 9 -- that's two more SEC teams with 2-0 records. Beating Tulane or Tennessee-Martin, respectively, might not  be the first bullet point on a College Football Playoff hopeful's resume, but the Tigers and Gators have shown enough to indicate they at least deserve to be in the conversation.

Do the SEC teams not named Alabama and Georgia land in your personal conference power rankings? Have you seen enough from LSU, Auburn and Florida to believe one of these programs might have a shot at dethroning Alabama or Georgia? 

Weinreb: I have no doubt shed what little credibility I had left by presuming Washington was legitimate national title contender before they gagged up a late-night defeat to Cal last Saturday. So now that we can pretty much officially leave the Pac-12 for dead again this season (I’m not buying USC yet, even if they really have found their next Matt Leinart), I’m happy to focus on the football that still matters. 

What’s interesting about the SEC is that the bottom half is just as wretched as pretty much every other Power Five conference, particularly in one state: Tennessee is the most angst-ridden disaster of any high-major program in the country, and Vanderbilt just got handled by Purdue. South Carolina and Missouri feel like they’re largely just hoping to win six games and earn a trip to the kind of pre-Christmas bowl game that serves no real purpose except to distract you from your relatives.

But beyond that, it does get kind of interesting. It’s clear LSU’s Ed Orgeron has finally embraced new-age football. And while I was never as high on Texas as you were heading into this season, that’s the kind of road win that feels like at least the first sentence of what could become a prolonged statement. The Tigers are slinging the ball around the field; they’re 13th in the country in scoring offense, and fifth in passing offense. Last year, they were 67th in passing offense, so it’s not just Burrow — it’s a coaching staff that has finally decided to set its talent free from the stultifying offense that had come to define the program under Les Miles. 

Given how stacked LSU's defense is, you have to think it has the best shot to become the third SEC team (beyond Alabama and Georgia) with legit playoff aspirations. In fact, I don’t see a true threat on LSU’s schedule (presuming Utah State quarterback Jordan Love doesn’t pull a shocker in the Bayou in early October) until Oct. 12, when the Tigers host Florida. And I’m just not as convinced about the Gators, even if Feleipe Franks was nearly perfect (25-for-27) against Tennessee-Martin last week. The Gators barely beat a Miami team that’s a true work in progress, and they must go to Kentucky this week, which isn’t nearly the bye that it used to be. So we’ll know a lot more after that one — and after the Gators host Auburn on Oct. 5.

Speaking of which, what exactly is Auburn? Should we trust that opening-week win over Oregon when freshman quarterback Bo Nix salvaged a pretty freshman-esque kind of night with a winning touchdown drive? Nix barely completed 50 percent of his passes against Tulane on Saturday, so the learning curve is still pretty steep. Although the Tigers get a break against Kent State this week, they have maybe the toughest run in the country upcoming: four road games in five weeks, against Texas A&M, Florida, Arkansas and LSU. 

That gauntlet will likely be good for Nix in the long term, but it might be a disaster in the short term — and Gus Malzahn is essentially hoping to salvage his job at the end of that stretch.

Do I think any of these teams are on the same level as Georgia and Alabama? Not yet, though LSU is creeping up there. If I had to rank the three quasi-contenders, I’d go 1.) LSU, 2.) Florida, 3.) Auburn. And if there’s a complete wild-card in this mix, it’s Mississippi State, which has two pretty soft wins behind Penn State transfer Tommy Stevens at quarterback. But if the Bulldogs win at Auburn in late September, that could propel them into the upper echelon in Joe Moorhead’s second season as head coach.

Any qualms with that hierarchy? And who’s your SEC sleeper/spoiler as we careen into conference play?


Texas A&M quarterback Kellen Mond. Joshua S. Kelly-USA TODAY Sports

Rooney:  I think I'll answer your second question first -- I'm giving Texas A&M some deep sleeper love. I doubt the Aggies can make a case for being a top-tier team, but since you said "spoiler," well, that seems a distinct possibility.

We're all familiar with the story of the incline, peak, and decline of Florida State under Fisher. Say what you want about the culture issues he left behind there, but Fisher is versed in taking a program from middling to champion in a short time. The year before his Seminoles went 12-2, winning the ACC and the Orange Bowl, they finished 9-4. That's the same record the Aggies posted last year, Fisher's first at College Station. 

On the field, it's now a question of whether the Aggies can regroup from last week's pounding at  Clemson, clearly a superior team, and withstand one of the nation's toughest schedules. Saturday should be a freebie against Lamar, but then the onslaught continues. In the next month, Texas A&M will host Auburn and Alabama, and the Aggies finish the season with back-to-back road games at Georgia and LSU. Yikes.

A&M quarterback Kellen Mond is capable of greatness. We've seen it, in big games no less. His nucleus of primary receivers from last season is back, though they were ineffective against Clemson. Still, with continued reps and a renewed focus on consistency, Mond -- who threw for 3,107 yards and 24 touchdowns last season -- has the skills and an experienced line to effectively lead the offense.

One of the few bright spots for the Aggies against Clemson was their run defense. It allowed 121 yards against Clemson, holding Travis Etienne to 53 yards and no touchdowns. But I'm not holding out hope that the pass defense is much improved from last year's last-in-the-SEC ranking.

To get back to your first query, you know who else I'm starting to believe in? Orgeron. I've always wanted to believe in him. He is one of the most likable personalities in the sport. Remember this gem

Between last week's Texas game and last season's Fiesta Bowl win over Central Florida, I'm feeling more encouraged that Orgeron can  guide LSU to big-game wins. The Tigers are definitely my No. 1 among the quasi-contenders. I think I'll flip the second and third spots, though -- I'm with you in finding this Florida squad utterly unconvincing. It doesn't help that receiver Kadarius Toney will miss multiple weeks with a shoulder injury and cornerback CJ Henderson is doubtful this week with a sprained ankle. 

I'm definitely not convinced by Auburn, either, as Malzahn's offense is unique and his history with true freshman quarterbacks is mixed. So I'm pretty much basing this on one thing: the fact that I liked Auburn's performance against Oregon more than I liked Florida's against Miami. You're right -- we'll know much more about where these two teams truly fall in the hierarchy after we see them square off.


Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

Weinreb: We’ll know a lot more about every one of these teams quickly. Say what you will about SEC fans’ tendency toward self-importance, but they’re generally correct: This is the most dominant college football conference in the country, at least in its upper half. The only question is whether several of these teams will wind up knocking each other off, as has happened in past years, and whether Alabama will once again clear the decks and score its sixth (!) consecutive College Football Playoff bid. 

And that’s where I’d like to focus here, because, let’s face it, none of this matters if Alabama is Alabama once again. But I think there’s a glimmer of hope for those of you suffering from Nick Saban Fatigue, which is characterized by a revulsion for Coca-Cola and Little Debbie Oatmeal Cream Pies.

There’s a slim possibility that this "could" be the first playoff without the Crimson Tide. They look as dominant as ever through two games against average to sub-par competition. Tua Tagovailoa has thrown seven touchdowns and zero interceptions, and he appears to have one the best receiving corps in the history of the sport. But allow me to play devil’s advocate.

Because let’s say your sleeper pick is correct, and Jimbo really does have things figured out and Mond winds up going on a Johnny Manziel-like tear. The Crimson Tide play at College Station on Oct. 12. That rivalry has a history of producing memorable games. And then, on Nov. 9, Alabama hosts LSU, which is shaping up to be the game of the year (if not yet another Game of the Century), just like the way it used to be in the heyday of Les Miles, an entirely different type of affable goof than Orgeron. 

And then the next week, there’s a game at my favored sleeper, Mississippi State. Letdown potential, anyone? And there’s the Iron Bowl at Auburn on Nov.  30. That’s three tough road games, and a potential classic at home. And even if the Tide makes it through that, they’ll likely face Georgia again in the SEC Championship game.

Do I think Alabama will  lose two of those games, and potentially slip out of the top four? Probably not. But it feels as if the SEC is at least a little more deep and treacherous than it’s been in the last couple of years, and that schedule could wear the Tide down to the point where it at least becomes a true competition. All it takes is a single breakthrough to alter the paradigm and pierce the seeming inevitability of this dynasty. For those of us who relish parity in this sport, all we can do is cross our fingers.

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