Bangladesh vs New Zealand 1st ODI Match Prediction - Who will win today's match between BAN vs NZ ODI match?

After their last ODI series victories against the West Indies and Pakistan, Bangladesh is gearing up to host New Zealand in a three-match ODI series. The first match of the series is scheduled to be played at Sher-e-Bangla National Cricket Stadium in Mirpur on Friday, 17th April. 

Bangladesh

Bangladesh must have gotten a morale boost with two back-to-back ODI series victories against the West Indies and Pakistan. They thrashed Pakistan 2-1 in the last ODI series. They are set to return to return to thie home ground where they will be hosting an inexperienced New Zealand in a three-match ODI series. The batting unit includes Soumya Sarkar, Tanzid Hasan, Tawhid Hridoy, and Litton Das. Spin options for Bangladesh also include Afif Hossain and Rishad Hossain. Pace bowling attack will be led by Mustafizur Rahman and last series hero Nahid Rana. The hosts will be aiming to kick off this series on a positive note. 

New Zealand

New Zealand will be entering this series after thrashing India in India in the last series and beating them by a 2-1 margin in January this year. However, New Zealand will be arriving in Bangladesh without their key players this time, making them one of the most inexperienced sides in recent years. The exposure to the new players will help them in nurturing their talent at the higher level, especially when the 2027 ODI World Cup is not too far. Tom Latham is set to lead the side. Muhammad Abbas, Adi Ashok, Blair Tickner, and Dean Foxcroft will be under the limelight during this series. 

BAN vs NZ 1st ODI Match Details

BAN vs NZ 1st ODI Pitch Report

The surface in Mirpur has always favoured spinners over the years due to its slow and sluggish nature, which eventually makes batting a tough task in the second innings. However, the surface in the last ODI series between Bangladesh and Pakistan was spicy. In general, Pacers will need to land the ball on a specific spot because of the low and sometimes inconsistent bounce; batters often need to spend some time at the crease to adjust their timing. Batters will need to play cautiously against spin, and they can post a good score after spending some time at the crease. The average first innings total in 2026 is just 226. 

BAN vs NZ 1st ODI Weather Report

The weather is expected to remain dry and humid throughout the match, with no chance of rain interrupting it. There is a slight chance of a thunderstorm hitting Dhaka tomorrow. The temperature will be around 32-35°C with a humidity of approximately 72%, making it feel slightly warmer. 

BAN vs NZ Head-to-Head Records

BAN vs NZ 1st ODI Probable XI

• Bangladesh: Saif Hassan, Tanzid Hasan, Towhid Hridoy, Najmul Hossain Shanto, Litton Das (wk), Afif Hossain, Mehidy Hasan Miraz (c), Rishad Hossain, Taskin Ahmed, Nahid Rana, Mustafizur Rahman

• New Zealand: Henry Nicholls, Will Young, Nick Kelly, Dean Foxcroft, Tom Latham (c/wk), Muhammad Abbas, Josh Clarkson, Nathan Smith, Blair Tickner, Will O'Rourke, Jayden Lennox

Players To Watch Out For in the BAN vs NZ 1st ODI Match

• Tanzid Hasan | BAN: Bangladesh's prominent top-order batter is currently in red-hot form. He will be coming into the ODI series after a brilliant campaign in the last ODI series against Pakistan, where he collected 175 in 3 innings, with a century in the last match. He has been a star player for the team, especially on the surface of Mirpur. Overall, he has scored 733 runs in 31 ODI matches. He will be one player to watch out for in this game. 

• Tom Latham | NZ: The New Zealand top-order batter is one of the most experienced players in the squad for this tour. He will be coming into the ODI series after a brilliant campaign in the domestic format, where he was consistently piling up good runs. He was good in the last T20I series against South Africa. Despite a change in formats, Latham remains intact with his batting form. He has featured in 163 ODI matches and has scored 4464 runs with 8 centuries and 26 half-centuries. 

BAN vs NZ 1st ODI Toss Prediction

Historical Toss-Winning Stats at the Venue

• In the last six ODI matches played at this venue, the teams that won the toss have opted to bat on two occasions and bowl on four occasions. 

Advantages of Bowling First on This Pitch

• Sher-e-Bangla National Cricket Stadium has hosted a total of 126 men's ODI matches to date, in which batting first teams have won 60 matches, while the teams batting second have won 63 games. This trend suggests that teams should prefer to bowl first on this surface to get maximum benefits. 

BAN vs NZ ODI Today's Match Scenario

Scenario 1

• Toss Winner: Bangladesh (opts to bowl first)
• Power-Play Score: 40-45
• NZ Total: 220-245
• Match Winner: Bangladesh

Scenario 2

• Toss Winner: New Zealand (opts to bowl first)
• Power-Play Score: 40-50
• BAN Total: 245-260
• Match Winner: New Zealand

Who will win today's BAN vs NZ ODI match?

The BlackCaps have played some impressive ODI cricket lately, beating India in India three months back. They have a solid momentum on their back. They have lost just one match in their last five matches. However, Bangladesh might not be a consistent team, but they are a beast on the surface of Mirpur; they can give a tough fight in the match. They thrashed Pakistan in the last ODI series and will be brimming with confidence. But considering the New Zealand over the hosts in this format, they are expected to win this match.