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Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Virginia
A host of U of L defenders brought down Virginia's Malik Washington (4) during their game at the L&N Stadium in Louisville, Ky. on Nov. 9, 2023. Sam Upshaw Jr./Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK

Louisville (4-0, 1-0 ACC) is set to face Virginia (4-1, 1-0 ACC) on Saturday, Oct. 4 at 3:30 p.m. EST at L&N Stadium in Louisville, Ky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

Offensive Statistics

Key: National Rank out of 136 FBS Teams (Value)

Defensive Statistics

Key: National Rank out of 136 FBS Teams (Value)

Special Teams Statistics

Key: National Rank out of 136 FBS Teams (Value)

Predictions:

- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have a 56.0 percent chance to win against the Cavaliers. Louisville has an FPI rating of 8.6 (35th overall), whereas Virginia has an FPI rating of 8.7 (34th overall)

- SP+ Prediction: Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a xxx percent chance to take down the Cavaliers. Louisville has an SP+ rating of 15.5 (24th overall), whereas Virginia has an SP+ rating of 8.7 (42nd overall).

- Kelley Ford Prediction: Per the Kelley Ford ratings, the Cardinals have a 70 percent chance to defeat the Cavaliers. Louisville has a KFord rating of 10.9 (29th overall), whereas Virginia has a KFord rating of 8.1 (37th overall)

- College Football Graphs Prediction: Per College Football Graph's EPA Margin metric, the Cardinals have a 35.0 percent chance to take down the Cavaliers. Louisville has an EPA Margin of 0.007 (49th overall), whereas Virginia has an EPA Margin rating of 0.022 (22nd overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 38, Virginia 31.

This article first appeared on Louisville Cardinals on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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