The New York Yankees have a lot of questions after being bounced from yet another October without a World Series championship.
But, Aaron Judge’s elbow might prove to be the most important story of the Yankees’ winter.
After the Yankees were eliminated Wednesday night, Judge admitted the obvious: his right elbow isn’t fully healed. He played through a flexor strain that cost him nearly two weeks in late July and left his throwing ability compromised for the rest of the season. Asked whether offseason surgery is on the table, Judge shrugged.
“I don’t know,” he said. “I’m not a doctor.”
That uncertainty hangs over a Yankees team already facing difficult decisions about its roster.
Judge first felt discomfort throwing from the outfield in July and was diagnosed with a flexor strain. Tests revealed no UCL damage, sparing him from the specter of Tommy John surgery. Still, he was placed on the injured list on July 27 and did not return until Aug. 5, at first limited to designated hitter. Even when he moved back into the outfield, manager Aaron Boone conceded that Judge’s throws “probably wouldn’t be like he normally does” for the rest of the year.
Statcast bore that out. Judge’s average throwing velocity dipped noticeably after the injury, and his range was limited. His bat, however, remained a force.
Judge put together another MVP-caliber campaign in 2025: a league-leading .331 batting average, 53 home runs, 114 RBIs, and an OPS north of 1.140. He also passed Yogi Berra on the Yankees’ all-time home run list, continuing to climb into franchise lore.
The splits tell the story of how resilient he was.
Before the injury, Judge produced at a historic pace, slugging nearly .700 with a barrel rate over 23 percent. After his return, his average dipped slightly and the power lagged for several weeks, though he recovered down the stretch and in October looked closer to himself at the plate. The arm never fully followed.
The Yankees can’t afford to assume this will resolve itself. If Judge requires surgery — even a minor cleanup procedure — it could alter his availability for early 2026. If rehab alone is prescribed, the question becomes whether his throwing strength will return or if a permanent shift to more DH duty is necessary.
Either path reshapes how the Yankees construct their roster.
A Judge who cannot reliably play right field forces the club to invest in additional outfield depth. A Judge who misses time altogether would leave a gaping hole in the middle of the lineup.
The uncertainty also colors how the front office approaches trades and free agency. The Yankees’ offense still lived and died with the long ball this year, and taking Judge out of that equation for even a short stretch could be damaging.
Judge is 33 now and has carried a heavy workload in recent seasons.
He has proven he can play through injuries and still dominate, but his durability remains the defining storyline of his era. The captain is the face of the franchise, arguably the best player of his generation, and yet he still does not have a World Series ring.
The Yankees will chase pitching, explore upgrades at third base, and try to retool their bullpen this offseason. But none of those moves will matter as much as the question hanging over their captain’s right elbow.
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