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Contact! Friday's Base Hit Builder
Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

More fun with numbers as I take you through today's best bets for a base knock. We'll isolate today's MLB slate's pitch-to-contact SPs and which hitters they'll face who've frequently put quality balls in play over the last two weeks (min 35 PAs).

Today's SP Contact Targets — +89% Zone-Contact & +46% Hard Hit Rates

  • SD Stephen Kolek — 93.6% Zone-Contact, 48.8% Hard Hit
  • ATL Bryce Elder — 92.9% Zone-Contact, 46.1% Hard Hit
  • COL German Marquez — 92.8% Zone-Contact, 47.2% Hard Hit
  • LAA Jack Kochanowicz — 91.7% Zone-Contact, 49.8% Hard Hit
  • CHW Adrian Houser — 89.3% Zone-Contact, 49.3% Hard Hit
  • WSH Mitchell Parker — 88.6% Zone-Contact, 49.1% Hard Hit

Opposing Hitters, +80% Contact & +.290 Expected Batting Average 

  • Xavier Edwards MIA — 40 PA; 91% Contact, 0.295 xBA
  • Dylan Carlson BAL — 35 PA; 82% Contact, 0.326 xBA
  • Josh Naylor ARI — 45 PA; 80% Contact, 0.354 xBA
  • Gunnar Henderson BAL — 48 PA; 80% Contact, 0.295 xBA

LAGHEZZAS LEANS:

Intentionally setting all the parameters really high on both sides of our base hit matrix left us with just a handful of results on an otherwise tremendous slate — but I gotta say I love every one of these guys for a hit today.

TODAY'S ACTION: THREE-LEG BASE HIT PARLAY (+130) on Draftkings

  • Xavier Edwards, Josh Naylor, and Gunnar Henderson (Carlson not currently listed -- look out for lineups)

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This article first appeared on Athlon Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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