Is Red Sox OF prospect Miguel Bleis poised to bounce back in 2025?

Red Sox outfield prospect Miguel Bleis is in need of a bounce-back season in 2025. There is good reason to believe it could happen, at least according to one prominent publication.

Last week, Baseball America’s Jesus Cano identified 15 prospects “who are poised to bounce back with the new season on the horizon.” Bleis was among those 15 and the lone representative from the Red Sox organization.

Bleis, who turns 21 next month, is currently regarded by Baseball America as the No. 9 prospect in Boston’s farm system. The Dominican Republic native originally signed with the Red Sox for $1.5 million as a highly-touted international free agent coming out of San Pedro de Macoris in January 2021.

As noted by Cano, Bleis showed signs of promise early into his career. Following a successful professional debut in the 2021 Dominican Summer League, he truly burst onto the prospect scene in 2022 by slashing .301/.353/.542 with 14 doubles, four triples, five home runs, 27 RBIs, 28 runs scored, and 18 stolen bases in 40 Florida Complex League games.

On the heels of earning 2022 FCL All-Star honors, Bleis entered Baseball America’s Top 100 rankings in 2023 and opened the season as the No. 88 prospect in the sport. The right-handed hitter broke camp with Low-A Salem but batted just .230/.282/.325 with three doubles, three triples, one home run, 16 RBIs, 18 runs scored, and 11 stolen bases over 31 games before suffering a left shoulder subluxation that ultimately required season-ending surgery that June.

After spending the next several months rehabbing — and adding more than 30 pounds of muscle to his wiry frame in doing so — Bleis had a normal spring training last year and returned to Salem for the start of the 2024 season. He then slashed .257/.349/.398 with 10 doubles, one triple, four home runs, 24 runs scored, 16 stolen bases, 21 walks, and 38 strikeouts in 43 games (195 plate appearances) before receiving a promotion to High-A Greenville on June 11.

Though he was riding a relatively hot bat at the time of his promotion, Bleis struggled to produce consistently in his first stint at Greenville. In 52 games for the Drive, he hit a disappointing .190/.265/.319 with six doubles, seven home runs, 25 RBIs, 32 runs scored, 22 stolen bases, 18 walks, and 54 strikeouts over 234 plate appearances.

Altogether, Bleis batted .220/.303/.354 (94 wRC+) with 16 doubles, one triple, 11 home runs, 47 RBIs, 56 runs scored, an organizational-leading 38 stolen bases, 39 walks, and 92 strikeouts in 95 total games (429 plate appearances) between Salem and Greenville last season. Among 21 Red Sox minor-leaguers who made at least 400 trips to the plate in 2024, Bleis most notably ranked second in wSB (1.9), fourth in speed score (6.7), and seventh in strikeout rate (21.4 percent), per FanGraphs.

On the other side of the ball, Bleis saw most of his playing time last year come in center field. Between Salem and Greenville, the approximate 6-foot-2, 203-pounder logged 532 2/3 innings in center, where he recorded four assists and committed six errors in 153 total defensive chances. He also made 19 starts in right field (where he recorded two more outfield assists) and 15 starts at DH.

With intriguing raw power and plus speed to support his range in the outfield, Bleis still possesses the kind of five-tool potential that could help him reclaim a spot on Baseball America’s Top 100 list in 2025. His chances of accomplishing that would likely improve if he can continue to refine his approach at the plate to the point where he is whiffing considerably less.

Barring a trade or other surprise move, Bleis is expected to return to Greenville for the start of the 2025 campaign. Given the fact that he can become Rule 5-eligible for the first time in December, it would not be surprising if he worked his way up to Double-A Portland before the season comes to a close.