Marco Luciano has gone through one of the most interesting journeys for a top prospect in recent memory.
Once Brandon Crawford retired, he was seen as the future of the San Francisco Giants at the shortstop position. However, things didn’t go in Luciano’s favor after that, and it’s been a bumpy road up until this point.
The young shortstop was ranked among the top three prospects in the Giants’ system for six straight years (2019-24), according to MLB.com. In two of those seasons, he was the top prospect in the organization.
With Crawford seemingly slowing down in 2023, a lot of expectations were placed on the shoulders of Luciano. As a matter of fact, he was rushed to the big leagues and made his debut in August that year.
This push to have the Giants’ top position player prospect in the big leagues was an attempt to bring some excitement into the clubhouse and the fanbase. However, this has looked like one of the biggest blunders of the Farhan Zaidi era in San Francisco and part of why Buster Posey is taking his time with current top prospect, Bryce Eldridge.
Luciano’s development was severely mishandled, and it’s starting to look like the former top prospect is now an afterthought in the organization.
In 41 games at the big league level between 2023 and 2024, Luciano struggled mightily, slashing .217/.286/.304 for a 68 wRC+. He also has yet to hit his first big league home run, which is concerning due to the fact that power was his main calling card as a prospect coming up.
Another important note is to mention that his defense at shortstop was so lackluster that San Francisco has now converted him into a corner outfielder. Not transitioning Luciano defensively earlier in his development was another issue for which the former regime in San Francisco received backlash.
All of this has led to Luciano spending the entire 2025 season with the Triple-A Sacramento Rivercats. It was always going to be difficult for him to regain some trust from the front office, but has he started to do that with his improved play and uptick in power this year?
Not a lot of Giants fans had any hope for Luciano turning into anything heading into 2025. After the team signed Willy Adames, and with the emergence of Heliot Ramos, it looked like there was no position for him. To add to the fact, Drew Gilbert and Luis Matos have emerged as possible pieces moving forward just over the last few weeks, which will make it even harder for Luciano to earn a spot on the big league team.
508 FEET FROM MARCO LUCIANO pic.twitter.com/bhXlOb02E8
— Sacramento River Cats (@RiverCats) August 31, 2025
*The distance of 508 feet mentioned in the post was a misread from Statcast, but Luciano’s power is still on full display here.
Now, outside of his 23 home runs, which are a career high for a single season, Luciano’s 2025 numbers don’t jump off the page. He’s slashed .224/.348/.435 for a 105 wRC+. While he’s never been expected to hit for average, you’d still want to see some better production in that department in the minor leagues.
However, there is one area where Luciano has absolutely excelled this year, and the other right field options on the big league roster have struggled. While not a lot of people would have guessed that Luciano’s outlook would end up being as a platoon corner outfield bat, that may just be where he’s most effective.
Player | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR |
Luciano (AAA) | 126 | .290 | .413 | .600 | 1.013 | 8 |
Matos (MLB) | 83 | .177 | .217 | .418 | .635 | 5 |
Gilbert (MLB/AAA) | 116 | .162 | .214 | .265 | .478 | 2 |
Clearly, Luciano has performed the best against left-handed pitching throughout the entirety of 2025. Of course, he has put up those numbers in the minor leagues. Even with this level of output, it’s going to be tough for him to crack the Opening Day roster in 2026.
Even though the overall numbers aren’t good for Luis Matos against southpaws, the power output has been decent. On the other side of things, Drew Gilbert has a 122 wRC+ against righties in his big league time. The reason for pointing this out is that the Giants might already have their two platoon partners to share right field next year, if they don’t bring in a big bat in free agency of course.
The Giants are at a crossroads when it comes to their former top prospect. The talent is clearly there, but at some point, potential needs to turn into production, and San Francisco can’t just wait forever for that to happen.
With some possible pieces cementing themselves in the big leagues right now, the reality is that Luciano could be more valuable as a trade chip for the Giants, particularly if they find a trade partner that needs some help against lefties. If the right deal presents itself, Posey might just have to pull the trigger to help the Giants win now.
However, it’s always a dangerous gamble. With the power upside in Luciano’s bat, moving on too soon could mean watching him launch long balls in another team’s uniform. At the end of the day, that’s the risk that San Francisco has to weigh: cash in now, or wait and hope that Marco Luciano fully arrives?
Stats updated prior to games on September 12.
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