MLB betting: White Sox vs. Guardians odds, pick prediction for Wed. 7/3

White Sox vs. Guardians Odds

Wednesday, July 3, 6:40 p.m. ET, MLB.TV

Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

Chicago White Sox

There is no mistaking the fact that the White Sox have had a dreadful season. There are a few bright spots to be encouraged about, including the man on the mound.

Fedde has a 3.23 ERA and 1.14 WHIP on the season. His one-year stint in the KBO has rejuvenated his career.

The metrics are solid for Fedde, as he rarely allows free passes, induces a lot of weak contact and frequently ground balls. His xERA of 3.48 shows that his production is no fluke.

He has excellent numbers against the Guardians in his career, where they are hitting .195 against him across 41 at-bats. Fedde is set up for another excellent performance on the mound, especially with regression looming for the Guardians lineup.

Offensively, the team draws a matchup against Gavin Williams. Williams has some strikeout ability and does not allow much hard contact himself.

His ERA should be higher than it is, but the offense does not have much experience against him in the past. I expect an adjustment period to be made, but I am not running to the window to back the offense in any fashion.

Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians continue to find ways to win games late, and a big reason is their electric bullpen. The Guardians' bullpen ERA is off the charts, an MLB-best 2.44.

The offense is also top in runs scored per game, and their starting pitching has delivered well above expectations. The offense, such as hitters like Steven Kwan, are in for a rude awakening at some point.

The offensive numbers are unsustainable, especially with their numbers with runners in scoring position. Steven Kwan is hitting .362 with ridiculous power numbers, but his hard-hit rate is 22.2%, ranking in the second percentile of all MLB hitters.

If it weren't for a weaker division, I think the Guardians would have a more balanced record. They have a tough matchup against Fedde on Wednesday, and I think the bats may be sleepy to start the game.

Williams should do enough to bridge the gap to an elite bullpen, but I can not fully trust the offense to lay the money line juice with the Guardians. They may end up prevailing late, but there is a better betting alternative to this.

White Sox vs. Guardians

Betting Pick & Prediction

I love the first half under.

The White Sox scored six runs on Tuesday, including a few against the elite Cleveland relievers, but they should see some game-to-game negatives.

Williams is not an elite pitcher by any stretch, but his stuff is good enough to make a team like the White Sox look silly at the plate. The matchup for Fedde is enticing, and I expect a good outing from him.

Some of these Guardians hitters will eventually hit the negative regression train, and I do not expect them to break through against Fedde early on.

Pick: F5 Under 4.5 (-110) | Play to 4.5 (-115)

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