MLB Probable Starters Plus Underdog Winners, 6/12

"Give me six hours to chop down a tree, I'll spend the first four sharpening the axe." Part of the struggle betting baseball on a daily basis comes down to handling the massive amount of subsequent data. Before you start opening 1,000 different Chrome tabs chasing data, get all your ducks in a row first.

Make sure to bookmark our Athlon Sports Betting tab to help solidify that foundation bright and early every day.

Thursday, June 12th, 2025

• 1:10pm EST — O/U 8.5

WSH Mike Soroka: +205; 32.8% Implied Probability 

NYM Kodai Senga: -244; 70.9% Implied Probability

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• 1:10pm EST — O/U 8.5

TEX Patrick Corbin: +138; 42.0% Implied Probability

MIN Bailey Ober: -164; 62.1% Implied Probability

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• 3:10pm EST — O/U 11.5

SF Hayden Birdsong: -222; 68.9% Implied Probability

COL Antonio Senzatela:  +185; 35.1% Implied Probability

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• 6:35pm EST — O/U 8.5

DET Tarik Skubal: -189; 65.4% Implied Probability

BAL Dean Kremer: +159; 38.6% Implied Probability

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• 7:40pm EST — O/U 8.5

NYY Will Warren: -147; 59.5% Implied Probability

KC Seth Lugo: +125; 44.4% Implied Probability

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• 7:40pm EST — O/U 7.5

STL Sonny Gray: -128; 56.1% Implied Probability

MIL Jacob Misiorowski: +110; 47.6% Implied Probability

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• 8:05pm EST — O/U 7.5

PIT Andrew Heaney: +171; 36.9% Implied Probability

CHC Jameson Taillon: -204; 67.1% Implied Probability

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• 8:10pm EST — O/U 7.5

CHW Davis Martin: +217; 31.5% Implied Probability

HOU Framber Valdez: -263; 72.5% Implied Probability

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LAGHEZZA'S LEANS:

Rough day for dogs yesterday... oof

My first read usually comes down to one thing: underdogs at plus odds with a 50/50 chance to win outright — Today's is PIT. Remember, baseball's inherently variant and backing dogs greatly lowers the necessary win/loss record to profit long-term.

Thanks so much for reading — it's been so exciting getting to interact with all my new friends here at Athlon Sports. If you're interested in upping your analytical game, come find out what all the hubbub's about regarding my best-selling MLB/NFL Substack page.