Yardbarker
x
Strikeout Kings — K Prop Cheat Sheet, 6/16
© Steven Bisig-Imagn Images

When I started polling the audience for what data they'd like to see or had trouble scraping, pitcher props were easily the most popular answer. So I placed all of today's probable starters' 2025 strikeout and swinging strike rates next to their opponent, plus where that offense ranks against that handed pitcher in Ks over their last month of play. Then we'll pair our favorite picks for a pitching parlay.

TODAY'S PROBABLE STARTERS + OPPONENTS vs LHP/RHP:

  • SEA Logan Gilbert — 37.6% K, 18.2% SwStrk vs. BOS 24.6% Rank 28
  • LAD Shohei Ohtani — 31.5% K, 12.9% SwStrk vs. SD 19.4% Rank 5
  • SD Dylan Cease — 29.9% K, 16.5% SwStrk vs. LAD 19.5% Rank 7
  • HOU Lance McCullers Jr. — 28.5% K, 10.3% SwStrk vs. ATH 23.4% Rank 26
  • NYY Clarke Schmidt — 25.2% K, 12.4% SwStrk vs. LAA 25.0% Rank 29
  • PHI Mick Abel — 23.0% K, 12.0% SwStrk vs. MIA 18.2% Rank 3
  • TB Ryan Pepiot — 22.3% K, 11.3% SwStrk vs. BAL 23.0% Rank 24
  • ATH Mitch Spence — 22.2% K, 17.4% SwStrk vs. HOU 20.7% Rank 11
  • LAA Jose Soriano — 18.7% K, 10.8% SwStrk vs. NYY 20.8% Rank 13
  • BOS Lucas Giolito — 17.9% K, 8.1% SwStrk vs. SEA 22.5% Rank 21
  • MIA Sandy Alcantara — 17.7% K, 9.3% SwStrk vs. PHI 20.6% Rank 10
  • BAL Zach Eflin — 16.9% K, 9.2% SwStrk vs. TB 21.0% Rank 15
  • WSH Jake Irvin — 15.3% K, 7.3% SwStrk vs. COL 25.6% Rank 30
  • COL Carson Palmquist — 14.8% K, 6.8% SwStrk vs. WSH 23.0% Rank 16

Be on the lookout for uncertain workloads any time there's a return from injury (Shohei Ohtani, Logan Gilbert), especially when there's no discount. Love Gilbert in this spot but the M's may just want to see him get through five healthy IP, we don't know.

LAGHEZZA'S LEAN:

TWO-LEG +6K STRIKEOUT PARLAY (+150) on Draftkings

Clarke Schmidt, NYY + Lance McCullers, HOU 

We fell short on Captain Jack this Saturday — looking to get our strikeout props back to the window tonight. 

Thanks so much reading, it's been so exciting getting to interact with all my new friends here at Athlon Sports. If you're interested in upping your analytical game, come check out my best-selling MLB/NFL Substack page. Don't be shy — reach out to me via DM anytime on X @JohnLaghezza and I'll hook you up with a free trial.

This article first appeared on Athlon Sports and was syndicated with permission.

More must-reads:

Customize Your Newsletter

Yardbarker +

Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!