Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images. Pictured: Patchy Mix

Patchy Mix vs. Jakub Wiklacz Prediction, Pick, Odds for UFC 320 (Saturday, October 4)

Originally posted on Action Network | By Sean Zerillo | Last updated Oct 4, 2025 11:06 AM ET

Check out the Patchy Mix vs. Jakub Wiklacz prediction for UFC 320 on Saturday, October 4, with my betting preview and breakdown.

Patchy Mix vs. Jakub Wiklacz Odds

Mix Odds	-334
Wiklacz Odds	+250
Over/Under	2.5 (-120 / -120)
Location	T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Bout Time	7:00 p.m. ET
TV/Streaming	ESPN+
UFC 320 odds as of Saturday and via bet365. Bet on UFC 320 with our bet365 promo code.

Here’s my Mix vs. Wiklacz pick and prediction.

Tale of the Tape

	Mix	Wiklacz
Record	20-2-0	16-3-2
Avg. Fight Time	15:00	—
Height	5’11”	5’10”
Weight (pounds)	135 lbs.	135 lbs.
Reach (inches)	70″	72″
Stance	Southpaw	Orthodox
Date of birth	8/16/1993	9/10/1996
Sig Strikes Per Min	8.13	—
SS Accuracy	40%	0%
SS Absorbed Per Min	11.53	0.00
SS Defense	42%	0%
Take Down Avg	0.00	0.00
TD Acc	0%	0%
TD Def	0%	0%
Submission Avg	0.0	0.0

Mix vs. Wiklacz Pick, Prediction

Former Bellator champion Patchy Mix dropped an extremely underwhelming decision to Mario Bautista as a -174 underdog in his UFC debut, and will now face former KSW champion Jakub Wiklacz – as an even more significant favorite – in his sophomore outing.

Mix is the better athlete – and wrestler – but Wiklacz has a jiu-jitsu black belt, and has recorded 10 of 16 career wins by submission; I’d expect Mix to gain top position in the fight, but anticipate that Wiklacz will survive on bottom and potentially set up opportunities to lock in a triangle.

This is also a matchup where Mix could have a rare, clear striking advantage. Still, Wiklacz, like Mix, has extensive fight-round experience for a UFC debutant – as a champion of a high-level regional promotion – and I’d expect him to hang tough until the final bell.

I project value both on Mix’s moneyline (projected -369; bet to -330) and for the fight to reach a decision (projected -149, listed -120). Moreover, I show correlated value on Mix to win by decision (projected +119, listed +175), which I would bet down to +130.

Projection: Patchy Mix (78.7%)

Sean’s Pick: