The Houston Texans enter the 2025 NFL season with high expectations after back-to-back playoff appearances, but analysts are skeptical about their ability to sustain success. Despite a promising core led by quarterback CJ Stroud and head coach DeMeco Ryans, significant concerns linger around the team’s roster and schedule.
Offensive line turnover is a glaring issue, as the franchise traded away key players like Laremy Tunsil, leaving an unproven group to protect Stroud. Without standout blockers, the offense risks regressing further after already struggling against defensive adjustments last season. The lack of stability up front could derail any progress made in Stroud’s development.
Houston’s receiving corps also faces uncertainty, with Nico Collins as the lone proven option. While the additions of Christian Kirk and rookies Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel offer potential, they remain untested as a unit. The team’s success will rely heavily on these new faces clicking quickly, especially with a challenging early schedule.
Houston’s defensive unit has been a bright spot, finishing in the top half of the league in scoring last season. However, analysts question whether it can carry the team again, particularly with tougher competition in the improving AFC South. The Jaguars and Titans are expected to provide stiffer challenges, potentially limiting Houston’s divisional dominance.
Houston may be in trouble for the 2025 season. This is detailed more in an analysis by Brad Gagnon for Bleacher Report.
Bust: Proving 2023 to be an aberration, a team that traded away its stalwart left tackle has even more offensive-line trouble and continues a downward spiral in a division that could be stronger than expected. Stroud again struggles with a receiving corps riddled with question marks, and the Jaguars and/or Colts leapfrog Houston in the AFC South.
Prediction: I don’t trust this team at all, but Stroud is still Stroud and the Texans do have the top-end talent on both sides of the ball. They will be in the wild-card mix, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the Jags grabbed the division crown from them.
Adding to the skepticism is Houston’s first-place schedule, which features matchups against powerhouse teams from the NFC West and AFC West. The demanding slate leaves little room for error, making nine or ten wins a difficult target to reach. Analysts suggest Houston could slip to a seven- or eight-win season under these circumstances.
While the Texans have the talent and coaching to compete, the structural issues on offense and a tougher schedule raise serious concerns. Without improvements in key areas, Houston may struggle to meet lofty expectations in 2025.
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