'MNF' Week 11 bets: Best player props for Eagles vs. Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) is pursued by Philadelphia Eagles linebacker Haason Reddick (7) during Super Bowl LVII. Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

'MNF' Week 11 bets: Best player props for Eagles vs. Chiefs

We've got a rematch of Super Bowl LVII on our hands in what has the potential to be the best game of the season. Hopefully it lives up to the hype. We've got a trio of plays to help enjoy the action.

Patrick Mahomes 300+ passing yards (+120 DraftKings)

Teams prefer to attack Philadelphia through the air, and it's not hard to see why: It's been working. The bet here on Patrick Mahomes to find 300+ passing yards is simply built on volume. Teams are throwing at a 71% clip against Philly, and Kansas City throws at the sixth-highest rate in the league, suggesting a nice overlap of tendencies.

I considered Mahomes's pass attempts line at 38.5, as he's over it in three of his last five games, but I think the better pivot might just be his yards given the expectation of so many passes.

Over the past 24 games in which Mahomes attempts 39+ passes, he's averaging 332.8 passing yards per game, going for 300+ in 16 of them. He's logged 300+ yards in 10 of his past 12 when he gets off this volume, so this feels like the right play for me to take advantage of this vulnerable Philly secondary.

Haason Reddick over 0.25 sacks (-110 DK) & Josh Sweat over 0.25 sacks (+100 DK)

This is what the kids call bias. I think it's important that the fact I'm an Eagles fan is acknowledged and dropped on the table before you proceed any further. Fade these, ignore them, ride with me, whatever you want.

Kansas City has allowed only 12 sacks this season, the lowest mark in the league. However, eight of those sacks have come in the past four games, so perhaps a leak has sprung just a bit. Everything I've read suggests the best way to attack this offensive line is their tackles, and there seems to be a potential advantage for Philly's speed edge rushers against Kansas City's massive OTs.

This bet is steeped in bias, as I mention. I just think there is no way these two aren't still ticked off about that infamous slippery grass in the Super Bowl. Let the record show: I've never liked or considered that a reason the Eagles lost the game. However, after having a historic pass rush last season fall short in the Super Bowl, grass being the reason or not, I expect these two to come out motivated and ready to get to Mahomes. I'll grab both down at these measly 0.25 sacks lines.

Sweat has 4.0 sacks in his past four games. Reddick has 6.5 sacks in his last five.

Griffin Carroll

Griffin Carroll is focused on bringing you the betting numbers that matter. With a focus on the NFL, NHL and NBA, Griffin relies on a data-driven betting approach for prop bets, spread picks and over/unders. 

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