The NFL Draft is fast approaching, and the betting markets have fluctuated since opening. In order to better apprise ourselves of each team's needs and betting options, we're taking a division-by-division look at the odds for each teams' first draft selection.
Odds are courtesy of DraftKings
Two weeks ago, we put out an article around our love for Philly to grab an offensive lineman with their first pick. Back then, the odds were +230. We certainly feel good about our bet now that the odds have flipped to -200. For those that joined us then, now we're thinking we might as well load up a bet on defensive line as well.
The Bijan Robinson rumors to the Eagles are understandable, and it's why RB is lingering here as a potential third option, but it seems very unlikely to happen. This is an organization that has invested in the trenches above all else. After signing Jalen Hurts to a five-year extension, it's imperative that Philly keeps both lines stocked. If you hit on a lineman, their shelf life and impact on your franchise can last a decade.
We still do like OL with the first pick, but at these odds, we'd recommend taking a chance they go DL. They certainly have a need at both the interior and the edge, and if one of these impact defensive linemen start to slide, don't be surprised if Philly packages their two firsts to move up and secure a difference-making prospect.
The pick: Defensive lineman (+200)
For a team with as many needs as Washington, we'd be extremely surprised if they drafted Bijan Robinson, so let's remove that option from the table.
The favorite for Washington's first pick in the post-Dan Snyder era is corner, understandable given the depth and quantity of high-end corners in this class. That depth may give the Commanders pause at taking one in the first in favor of a position with a larger drop off in talent.
This team feels far from competing, and quarterback, which is next on the board at +1000, seems like a possibility in a trade up. Ultimately, we like focusing on that side and taking a chance on offensive line. You cannot compete without studs on the line, and having studs on the line is something Washington most certainly cannot claim.
They need a starting corner and a franchise LT. We'll take the better price on what may very well be the more important position.
The pick: Offensive lineman (+200)
Last year the Giants invested in the trenches with a pair of top-10 picks. They signed QB Daniel Jones to a long-term extension this offseason, and now it's time to further invest in Jones' success.
The clearest way to do that is to find a wide receiver, and we agree with this position as the favorite. A few options are on the table here. If Zay Flowers or Jordan Addison slide, they both make sense here for a team in desperate need of better WRs.
If one of these pass-catchers start to slide, don't be surprised if New York looks to move up a few picks to secure the services of one of these pass-catchers. They may very well have PTSD from 2021 when Philadelphia jumped them to select DeVonta Smith.
The pick: Wide receiver (+125)
This is an interesting spot for Dallas. They certainly could use more offensive weapons for Dak Prescott. Tight end Dalton Schultz is off to Houston, and Michael Gallup didn't quite deliver as WR2 last season alongside CeeDee Lamb.
We can appreciate that tight end is the favorite here, but we're not so sure either Dalton Kincaid or Michael Mayer makes it here.
Dallas is a team like Philadelphia that prioritizes strong offensive line play, and it's for that reason we like the Cowboys to go OL here.
Tyron Smith is getting up there in age and injuries, and both he and Terrance Steele are on the last year of their deals at the two tackle positions. Interior offensive line is a pretty clear need with Connor McGovern heading to Buffalo. Cheers to the trenches once again.
The pick: Offensive lineman (+400)
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