Yardbarker
NFL Week 3, $10 to win $3806.50 lottery ticket parlay: Can we do it again? Why the heck not?
Griffin's ticket. Griffin Carroll

NFL Week 3, $10 to win $3806.50 lottery ticket parlay: Can we do it again? Why the heck not?

Last week, the miracle happened, we cashed our lottery ticket. It was a Sunday I'll never forget, but what if we went out there and did it again?
The basis of this piece is basically culminating a week of research and prep. The below are some of my favorite spots for Week 3, and I've bet many straight at their normal lines. This is me taking a chance on my reads hitting for a big game.

On Bet365, these odds were +37866 last I checked. I'm using the DraftKings 50% boost, which brings this to an even better +37965. Without the boost, it's +25310 on DK, and FanDuel doesn't offer the first leg I'm about to highlight, so I couldn't compare there.

If you missed the ride last week, don't think you can cure that FOMO by betting more than you should this week. This is a lottery ticket for a reason: keep the risk low: I've bet just $10 myself. Here's to two in a row.

Rhamondre Stevenson 50+ receiving yards

I didn't expect Stevenson to be one of the four names I'd highlight this week, but I've really become intrigued in his potential for a massive receiving game here.

Why is he here? Great question. I initially flagged Stevenson as a solid receptions target, because the Jets have allowed the most receptions to running backs this season, following a 2022 campaign that saw them in the upper half of the league as well.

As one might imagine considering they've let up the most receptions, the yards have followed with the Jets seeing 112 receiving yards from running backs in just two weeks.

In comes Stevenson, who has caught all nine of his targets this year, really solid volume for a RB. In Week 1, Stevenson finished with 64 receiving yards, so he's already shown the ability to hit the 50+ threshold.

Speaking of that 50+ threshold, hoo boy does he love having himself some games through the air against the Jets. Last season in two meetings, Stevenson caught 13 passes against the Jets, finishing with receiving totals of 72 and 56 yards. I'm sold.

For good measure, the weather in New Jersey isn't looking great, which should aid the short passing game.

Zay Flowers 75+ receiving yards

I've beaten the Zay Flowers drum all week so not quite sure what else I really need to say. I'm on his normal receiving line already, and the reason is simple.

He's leading Baltimore with 15 targets and the Colts secondary stinks. Indy just let three Houston receivers go for 70+ yards last week, and I love Flowers's usage near the line of scrimmage in a crummy weather day and how explosive he's been with the ball in his hands.


Follow Griffin Carroll at griffybets.substack.com for data, trends and targets for every NFL game, plus all the off-season news you can use. 


This Colts defense has been extremely vulnerable to big plays, and I expect that to continue here. Flowers has finished with 78 and 62 in his first two career games.

Amari Cooper 100+ receiving yards 

The Tennessee defense has been a staple in these lottery ticket parlays, and they just keep delivering for us. Chris Olave finished with 112 in Week 1 against the Titans, and Keenan Allen finished with 111 last week. Tennessee has also allowed two 80+ yard games from secondary receivers, so it's just a massive issue that should continue all season (we hope).

Cooper is leading Cleveland in targets and is fresh off a 90-yard performance. With Nick Chubb out for the year and the Titans strength in stopping the run, Deshaun Watson needs to go to the air, and I expect his top receiver to break off some chunk plays to get us to triple digits.

I also grabbed his normal line at 57.5 receiving yards on Friday.


Griffin's ticket. Best of luck for a repeat. Griffin Carroll

Justin Jefferson 125+ receiving yards

I certainly considered moving Justin Jefferson up to 150+ yards here, he's hit that mark in both games already this season. Instead, we ask for a measly 125 against an atrocious Chargers secondary. Los Angeles is second in the league in 20+ yard passes allowed and first in yards/pass attempt. Jefferson and this Vikings passing game are going to torch the Chargers in what should be a shootout.

I grabbed his over at 100.5 also, but he felt like a logical inclusion to this one.

And that's that. Simple as pie. Four legs is all it takes, a clean 50-75-100-125 parlay. Bet responsibly, and by god if we do this again I will cry.



Check out Yardbarker's betting hub for more previews, predictions, news and analysis.


More must-reads:

Sign up for the Bark Bets Newsletter

Bark Bets is Yardbarker's free daily guide to the world of sports betting. You'll get:

  • Picks and predictions from our in-house experts
  • The last-minute updates that give you an edge
  • Special offers from Sportsbooks

Subscribe now!

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.