Yardbarker
Three player props for NFL Week 4
David Dermer-USA TODAY Sports

Three player props for NFL Week 4

If you're looking for some more action tomorrow in the NFL, we've got you covered with three looks.

Amari Cooper over 58.5 receiving yards (-113 CZR)

Amari Cooper has back-to-back games with 101 yards, seeing 21 targets in the last two games from Jacoby Brissett. He has 16 catches in this stretch and three 20+ yard catches. The man is rolling.

I had Atlanta circled as a good defense to target for a long catch prop, but I'd rather just bank on Cooper racking up a few chunk gains that puts this prop over the total.

The Falcons have allowed 11 passes of 20+ yards this season, and rank inside the top-ten of opponent's yards per pass attempt and DADOT. 

Last week, both DK Metcalf (64 yards) and Tyler Lockett (76) went over their receiving yards prop, which you may have noticed is both higher than the 58.5 we can get at Caesars. Cooper Kupp had 108 in Week 2 and Jarvis Landry finished with 114 in Week 1. Atlanta has allowed the seventh-most yards to receivers this season, and Cooper's volume makes him a must-target this weekend.

Would play up to 61.5.

Khalil Herbert over 75.5 rushing yards (-104 CZR)

Khalil Herbert came in for an injured David Montgomery last week and made the most of his opportunity, taking 20 carries for 157 rushing yards and two scores.

Montgomery is out again, and Herbert's workload is expected to continue against a very vulnerable Giants run defense. It also helps that the forecast is suggesting rain and wind in East Rutherford; the run game should be a big part of the gameplan on Sunday for Chicago, and honestly, isn't it always?

The Giants have allowed the third-most rushing yards to running backs this year and the fifth-most yards per carry at 5.3.

Last week, Tony Pollard finished with 105 rushing yards while Zeke Elliott had 72. Week 2 saw Christian McCaffrey finish with 102, and Derrick Henry had 82 in the first game of the year. This is a volume bet against a soft defense.

Courtland Sutton over 24.5 long reception (-120 DK)

I was excited to see how Courtland Sutton would gel with new quarterback Russell Wilson, given how often Wilson likes to throw it deep.

Sutton has delivered on the hype, registering a 30+ yard catch in each game thus far. He has five 20+ yard catches this year and has seen double-digit targets in two straight.

The Raiders have seen opposing WR1s haul in a big catch each week. Last Sunday it was Robert Woods (40 yards and 21), Week 2 it was Marquise Brown with a 24-yard catch and Keenan Allen hauled in a 42-yard catch before leaving with an injury Week 1.

In total, Las Vegas is tied for eighth-most 20+ yard catches allowed, with the vast majority coming from the receiver position. The Raiders also rank seventh in opponent's yards per pass attempt, a metric that helps quantify how many chunk plays a defense is allowing in the passing game.

Sutton works down the field with regularity and has quickly become one of my favorite long catch targets this season.


Our Bark Bets sports betting newsletter has the news, picks and analysis smart bettors are using to win. Sign up today!


Griffin Carroll

Griffin Carroll is focused on bringing you the betting numbers that matter. With a focus on the NFL, NHL and NBA, Griffin relies on a data-driven betting approach for prop bets, spread picks and over/unders. 

More must-reads:

Customize Your Newsletter

Yardbarker +

Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!