Maple Leafs To Activate Dakota Joshua From LTIR

The Maple Leafs will activate winger Dakota Joshua from long-term injured reserve before tomorrow’s game against the Lightning, according to Sportsnet’s Anna Dua. Whether he plays or not remains to be seen – Joshua “will have his time managed” during this week’s back-to-back, Dua writes – but he will be available. They have an open roster spot, so no corresponding move will be required.

It will be Joshua’s first appearance of the calendar year if he plays. He sustained a kidney laceration on Dec. 28 against the Red Wings. He started skating last month but wasn’t close to returning due to the risk of re-injury. Now that it’s mitigated, he’ll be able to step back in.

When the Maple Leafs surrendered a fourth-round pick to acquire Joshua from the Canucks last summer, they were hoping he was a buy-low candidate that could return to the 18-goal, 32-point form he showed with Vancouver in 2023-24. The bottom-six grinder landed a four-year, $13MM extension at the time as a result, but he regressed to seven goals and 14 points in 57 games the following season after recovering from testicular cancer.

So far in Toronto, he’s produced at around the same pace. He’s managed six goals and 10 points in 36 games, working out to 0.28 points per game – just a bit higher than last year’s pace and still below his 0.32 career average. That’s even with Joshua shooting at a rather high 18.8% clip. He’s averaging just 0.89 shots on goal per game this season, his lowest figure since a 12-game rookie trial with the Blues in 2020-21.

Regardless, head coach Craig Berube has leaned on Joshua heavily in defensive situations at even strength. He’s started 72.6% of his 5-on-5 shifts in the D-zone, so even if he’s not playing a large role on Toronto’s penalty kill, his -2 rating is a strong one considering the type of deployment he’s been given. For a Leafs team that’s underwater in every possession metric, getting a trusted defensive piece like Joshua back isn’t without virtue as they try to make up the six-point difference keeping them out of a playoff spot.