College athletics are careening toward becoming a full-blown private commercial enterprise like the NFL or NBA. Meanwhile, the NCAA is hurtling toward an untimely demise and irrelevancy.
In late May, the NCAA ceded ground to the major conferences when it settled one of its antitrust lawsuits, enabling universities to pay their student athletes directly.
While competition among schools may be strengthened as a result, conferences are still trying to find new means of squeezing profits from athletic departments.
Per CBS Sports' Dennis Dodd, the Big 12 is considering a private equity investment of up to $1 billion for up to 20 percent ownership in the conference. On Thursday, ESPN's Pete Thamel — a veteran college sports reporter — described what it could mean on "The Pat McAfee Show."
"Private equity is coming and it's coming fast to college sports..
— Pat McAfee (@PatMcAfeeShow) June 13, 2024
It has been circling for the last eighteen months and the Big 12 has probably explored it the deepest" ~ @PeteThamel #PMSLive pic.twitter.com/5rUB0KVafW
If a deal is reached, it would provide the Big 12 with a massive additional stream of revenue on top of access to top-tier investment services, something the Big Ten and Southeastern conferences lack.
On top of that, the Big 12 is also in talks to sell naming rights for which a corporate sponsor would rebrand the conference. It's a commercial venture the smaller Group of Five conferences are also considering. Thamel also provided details about that on "The Pat McAfee Show."
"This Big 12 deal has been in discussions for about six months & it'll probably get done in the upcoming months..
— Pat McAfee (@PatMcAfeeShow) June 13, 2024
The sponsor would be in the name & the logo..
For the brand this is pretty massive & this would be a significant thing in college sports"@PeteThamel #PMSLive pic.twitter.com/fJDUBesVJj
In last year's chaotic media rights negotiations, the Big 12 locked up its own contract with ESPN and Fox before the Pac-12 could even organize. That resulted in the cannibalizing of Pac-12 teams by the Big 12, ACC and Big Ten and underscored that when one conference takes a step forward, the rest sprint to catch up.
Introducing private equity into college sports may secure Big 12 members' immediate future — and stave off additional poachings by the SEC and Big Ten for now — but they've only prolonged the inevitable consolidation into two major conferences.
Thamel also emphasized that point further on "The Pat McAfee Show."
"We are in the era of a power two in College Football..
— Pat McAfee (@PatMcAfeeShow) June 13, 2024
That's why the Big 12 is trying to be creative here"@PeteThamel #PMSLive pic.twitter.com/MRt2zKUJaB
The Big 12 has triggered a slow-moving avalanche that will eventually result in major athletic conferences seceding from the NCAA as they become more financially independent.
They'll also have the capabilities to create their own private governing body — a super league of sorts — in which the College Football Playoff or some form of it can be integrated. The already corporate-sponsored bowl games will follow suit, and the NCAA will become obsolete.
Once they're fully self-sustaining commercial entities, it's not farfetched to think the next hypothetical development in this corporate-led saga could be the SEC and Big Ten reaching deals with sportsbooks in which oddsmakers provide their technical assets and the conferences slap their names on the platform, akin to ESPN Bets and PENN Entertainment.
College sports are quickly evolving, but this out-of-control money train is leaving the game — and it really is just a game — farther in the rearview mirror.
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