The ultimate fade you can make in the NFL futures market is looking at which teams might finish the season with the league's fewest wins. The favorites are some of last year's biggest losers, Carolina and New England, but we're seeing some value at longer odds for some teams who figure to be in for a rough 2024.
The Giants are in such a horrible spot at the moment from a roster-building perspective, and yes, that all starts at the quarterback position.
Two seasons ago, Daniel Jones threw a ton of check-down passes and avoided making mistakes, and the Giants surprisingly made the playoffs out of the NFC, winning a playoff game.
New York then had a decision to make on Jones's future, and mistakenly decided the best course of action would be to extend him with a four-year, $160 million contract. Jones proceeded to get injured in 2023 and miss most of the season, and the Giants are now stuck with this contract for three more seasons.
Jones has never been better than mediocre, and New York is hitching their wagon to him in the hopes that he can figure something out this year. This has disaster written all over it, and after losing their best offensive player (Saquon Barkley), and letting their 24-year old budding star safety (Xavier McKinney) walk in free agency, this team has gotten worse on both sides. Meanwhile, the rest of the NFC East is better, meaning we've got a near-lock for fourth place in the division here for the Giants.
New York has to also face the tough AFC North, plus matchups with teams like the Colts, Bucs and Seahawks that they should be underdogs in.
This could be a rough one for the Giants, and it could be the end of Jones's marriage with the team as their starter, even while they keep paying him for two more seasons past this one.
The Cardinals could be an intriguing team should Kyler Murray figure some things out and if Marvin Harrison Jr. slots in as an immediate star.
However, there is plenty to be concerned about here. Arizona's defense remains an issue, and the team won just four games last season and hardly got better.
The kicker for a bet on Arizona in this market is simply their schedule. Here's how their year begins before their bye: Bills, Rams, Lions, Commanders, 49ers, Packers, Chargers, Dolphins, Bears, Jets.
They could arguably be underdogs in all of those games, and could easily lose every single one. They likely won't, but that's about as grueling of a schedule as we can remember seeing. That doesn't even include the post-bye games against the Seahawks, 49ers and Rams again. We're thinking another 4-13 season is coming for the Cardinals, which could take the cake for fewest wins in the league.
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