Don't look now, but Team USA is losing some of its favoritism with oddsmakers ahead of the 2024 Summer Olympics.
At least, that's the case for the men's 100M event, where Noah Lyles has gone from being the +170 favorite at FanDuel to being listed behind Jamaican competitor Kishane Thompson at +130. (We'll get into this dramatic standoff in just a minute.)
However, the competition is fierce throughout the track and field arena and the U.S.'s competitors are listed at longer odds to bring home the gold.
Here are a few events where Team USA is listed at longer odds than other countries.
There's no stopping him
— World Athletics (@WorldAthletics) July 9, 2024
's Kishane Thompson powers to 9.91 in the men's 100m to win his first international meet of the year #ContinentalTourGold pic.twitter.com/kMcCf8eJ9N
Team USA has three runners listed high up for this event: Gabrielle Thomas (+160) and McKenzie Long (+470), plus Brittany Brown who comes in as a +1600 long shot.
None of them are listed as favorably as Jamaica's Shericka Jackson, who FanDuel lists at +130.
Jackson is the 200M world champion and responsible for three of the four fastest times ever recorded. Her road to the Paris Games has been highlighted by breaking the all-time record, which has been held since 1988 by Florence Griffith-Joyner.
All of that being said, there is some added intrigue surrounding Jackson less than a month before the Summer Games. She was pulled from a race at the Hungarian Athletics Grand Prix with an apparent injury. It isn't clear yet whether the move was precautionary or if it will impact her participation in Paris.
Keep an on the odds for the women's 200M. If Jackson really is injured, they could be swinging in the U.S.'s favor.
Women have only participated in this event since the Sydney Olympics in 2000, and the U.S. impressively took home gold that year. This time around, defending gold medalist Katie Moon is listed at quite favorable +200 odds at FanDuel behind Great Britain's Molly Caudery at +145. Moon has since won gold at the World Athletics Championships in 2022 and 2023, so she could be worth your bet to repeat at the Paris Games.
On the men's side of this event, things are a bit uncertain. Team USA men haven't won this event since 2004, and their best bet this Olympics is Sam Kendricks who is a +1600 long shot. Armand Duplantis is heavily favored at -2400 odds to win gold for Sweden — even though he was born in Louisiana — and since he recently set the world record for the highest pole vault, he is the athlete to beat in this event.
Camryn Rogers is officially heading to her second Olympic Games!
— Canadian Running (@CanadianRunning) June 27, 2024
This time, as the reigning world champion.
The 25-year-old thinks it’ll take a near 80-metre throw to win gold #ACTrials24 pic.twitter.com/rh3PZmu7Yy
Team USA has never medaled in this event. In fact, they have been disqualified more times than they have placed and have never finished better than sixth. However, the U.S.'s DeAnna Price — who finished eighth at the Tokyo Games — has the second-shortest odds of winning gold in Paris at +185. Only Canada's Camryn Rogers has shorter odds, although they are significantly shorter at -125.
Rogers and Price are well acquainted. The 24-year-old Canadian attended the University of California at Berkeley and is a three-time NCAA hammer throw champion. She bested 30-year-old Price, who is the American record-holder in the event, at the Prefontaine Classic in Eugene, Oregon in May.
Price finished eighth in Tokyo in 2021 while Rogers finished fifth. While Price is reasonably priced — no pun intended — reasonably to win gold in Paris, it looks like her Canadian opponent is the athlete to back in this event.
Lyles' fall from the favorite spot at FanDuel likely has less to do with his own abilities and more to do with how good Thompson is. The Jamaican was 0.06 seconds faster in Jamaica's Olympic trials than Lyles was in Eugene, which the CBC notes is "a massive gap for elite sprinters."
This event has become a must-watch for the Paris Games. Lyles loves the spotlight and has a track record of tit-for-tat with Olympic great Usain Bolt, so the potential drama of a Lyles-Thompson standoff is gaining real steam.
Which one of them should you bet on? You still have a few weeks to place your bets before the Men's 100M event on Aug. 3.
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