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NASCAR All-Star Race preview: Favorite, underdog, top storylines
Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin. Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

NASCAR All-Star Race preview: Favorite, underdog, top storylines

On Sunday, the stars of the NASCAR Cup Series take a pause from regular-season action with the running of the All-Star Race at Dover Motor Speedway (1 p.m. ET, FS1, HBO Max, MRN Radio, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio).

Here's what you need to know ahead of the annual exhibition race for $1M.

Favorite: Denny Hamlin (+350, per DraftKings)

It took Hamlin a while to finally master the "Monster Mile," but once he picked up his first win there in 2020, Hamlin has added four more top 10s in his last six starts. Each of the last two trips to the one-mile concrete oval in Delaware has led to wins and a combined 203 laps led.

Much like his success at fellow concrete track Bristol Motor Speedway, Hamlin has asserted himself as one of the drivers to beat each time at Dover. With $1M on the line and a new-look format on deck, Hamlin should be viewed as the favorite to take home his second All-Star Race win (2015).

Underdog: Joey Logano (+2500, per DraftKings)

With four straight finishes of 30th or worse, the three-time champion enters All-Star weekend mired in a slump not seen since 2009. Fortunately for him, the All-Star Race has historically been kind to Logano with a top-10 finish in all but one of his 15 starts, including a pair of wins. 

According to NASCAR Insights, his 11 straight top 10s are the longest such streak in All-Star race history.

Logano was quietly good at Bristol with one of his three top 10s this season (seventh) and has been steady at Dover with 15 top 10s in 29 career starts and a solid 14.5 average finish. If there was ever an opportunity for Logano to return to his vintage self, it is now or never.

Dover set to host first All-Star Race

After a three-year run at North Wilkesboro, the race for $1M makes its debut at Dover under a revamped format. It will become the sixth different track to host the All-Star Race, but the path to the checkered flag on Sunday is far from the norm.

From Friday's extended 90-minute practice and Saturday's Pit Crew Challenge to the 350-lap race comprised of three different segments and a field that will be trimmed from 36 to 26 drivers after the first 150 laps, it is a totally different challenge for drivers at a new host site.

Kyle Larson looking to add another All-Star win after leading practice

Larson is still looking for his first points-paying win in over a calendar year, but Dover could be the perfect place for him to return to victory lane.

The defending champion was fastest in Friday's practice and has one win and a ridiculous 7.9 average finish at the "Monster Mile." As a three-time All-Star winner at three different tracks, Larson might just tack on a fourth on Sunday.

An All-Star Race win may lead to more success

The exhibition race has been around for 41 years, and a driver has gone on to win a championship 13 times after claiming the All-Star Race. Defending winner Christopher Bell only won one more time last season, but it is not uncommon for a driver to convert the prize money into a title at season's end.

Combine that with the fact that only two of the 22 All-Star Race winners since 2004 have failed to qualify for the postseason, and there is a good chance the winner of Sunday's race will be a factor for the Bill France Cup.

Colby Colwell

Colby Colwell is a freelance contributor with a bachelor’s in Computer & Information Technology and a minor in Psychology from Western Kentucky University. With a deep passion for sports, especially NASCAR, he offers his substantial knowledge along with his adept writing skills. When he’s not writing, Colby enjoys traveling, cooking, and spending time with his family

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