ATP Dallas Best Bets Including Fritz vs Giron

ATP 500 Dallas 1/16-Finals

Diallo – Shelton: 10.02.2026 22:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1

Gabriel Diallo has lost four of his last five matches. Last week, Diallo played in the Davis Cup, where he lost to Heide and defeated Pucinelli de Almeida. The Canadian had a breakthrough season in 2025, winning his maiden title and entering the top 40 in the rankings.

Ben Shelton has won four of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost to Sinner in the quarterfinals in straight sets. This is his third appearance in Dallas. Last season, the American lost to Munar in the second round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Diallo is the heavy underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Shelton never really succeeded here in Dallas. On the other hand, Diallo had a rough start to the season, but this is his chance to get back to his best level. We expect Diallo to keep this match close.

That being said, Diallo covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Gabriel Diallo +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Fritz – Giron: 11.02.2026 02:00 CEST
H2H: 8-2

Taylor Fritz has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost to Musetti in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. Last season in Dallas, Fritz lost to Shapovalov in the second round in three tight sets. He is the first seed this week.

Marcos Giron has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost to Tien in the opening round in five tight sets. Giron was the finalist here in 2024, when he lost to Paul in three tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Fritz is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is the biggest favourite this week in Dallas and had a decent run at the Australian Open. He leads 8-2 in head-to-head meetings against Giron, and we expect him to continue that winning streak.

That being said, Fritz covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Taylor Fritz -3.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365

Kovacevic – Opelka: 11.02.2026 02:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Aleksandar Kovacevic has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Montpellier, Kovacevic lost to Droguet in the second round, three tight sets to two.

Reilly Opelka has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost to Davidovich Fokina in the second round in five tight sets. Last season in Dallas, Opelka lost to Paul in the quarterfinals in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Opelka is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He enjoys playing on indoor hard courts. In their only head-to-head meeting, Opelka defeated Kovacevic in Atlanta under similar conditions in straight sets. We expect a similar outcome tonight as well.

That being said, Opelka winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Reilly Opelka winning @1.62 @bet365