ATP Paris Day 1 Predictions Including Jacob Fearnley vs Andrey Rublev

The ATP Masters 1000 event in Paris is one of only two one week Masters 1000 events on the calendar this year, and as such we are assured of high quality matches between top level players from day 1. This year the tournament will take place in a new venue, featuring what is now the second biggest arena in tennis after the Artur Ashe Stadium in New York, and it will surely be a memorable edition.

ATP Paris Day 1 Predictions

Alex Michelsen vs Zizou Bergs

Head-to-head: Michelsen 2-0 Bergs

There is a lot at stake in this match as both players can secure a seeding position for next year’s Australian Open with a good run here in Paris, and both also want to cap off the best season of their careers so far. When they faced last year, Michelsen won twice in a span of 11 days, both on U.S. soil, but there is very little to choose between the two players and this should a really close match decided by small details.
Prediction: Bergs in 3

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Head-to-head: Kecmanovic 2-1 Kovacevic

This is also a very tight matchup on paper; Kecmanovic won both encounters between the pair this year in straight sets, but the two players are generally quite close in both level and ranking. That said, Kovacevic has been struggling a lot lately, barely winning any matches since his run to the Los Cabos final, and is actually only in the main draw as a lucky loser. While Kecmanovic hasn’t exactly been in great form either, he should have a bit of an edge here.
Prediction: Kecmanovic in 3

Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Korda

Head-to-head: Sonego 3-2 Korda

Korda’s ranking is way below his real level, mostly due to injuries, and is almost sure to climb in 2026 if he stays healthy. He’s a player who has repeatedly shown the ability to compete with the top players, and if he can play anywhere near his best he should pull through here. Sonego has been a consistent presence at ATP level for a long time now and is always a tough out, but this match will be mostly on the American’s racket.
Prediction: Korda in 3

Jacob Fearnley vs Andrey Rublev

Head-to-head: first meeting

Rublev will (bar an unlikely title here in Paris) finish a season below the Top 10 for the first time this decade and actually comes into this tournament on the back of five consecutive losses. It’s arguably the toughest moment of his career so far and he’d like nothing more than a solid run here to gain some confidence ahead of 2026. Fearnley has been playing quite well, almost beating Alexander Zverev in Vienna and making it through qualifying here in Paris with relative ease, and he will surely make Rublev at least have to work very hard for the win.
Prediction: Rublev in 3