ATP Shanghai Best Bets Including Djokovic vs Vacherot

ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai semifinals

Djokovic – Vacherot: 11.10.2025 10:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Novak Djokovic has won four of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, Djokovic won against Cilic in the second round in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving four out of four breakpoints. In the third round, Djokovic defeated Hanfmann in three tight sets. After losing the opening set 4-6, the Serb turned the match around after playing for almost three hours. In the 1/8-Finals, he defeated Munar in three tight sets. Yesterday in the quarterfinals, the Serb defeated Bergs in straight sets. Djokovic has been the champion here four times already. Last season, the Serb lost to Sinner in the final in straight sets.

Valentin Vacherot has won six straight matches. This week in Shanghai, Vacherot qualified for the main draw tournament. In the opening main draw round, Vacherot won against Djere in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints. His toughest challenge happened in the second round against Bublik. After losing the opening set 3-6, Vacherot turned the match around and won in three tight sets. Machac retired mid-match against Vacherot in the third round. In the 1/8-Finals, Vacherot upset Griekspoor in three tight sets, after losing the opening set 4-6. Yesterday in the quarterfinals, he upset Rune in three tight sets after losing the opening set.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Djokovic is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. This is his chance to win the Masters 1000 title this season. With Alcaraz and Sinner being out, we expect Djokovic to dominate against the qualifier and win.

That being said, Djokovic covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Novak Djokovic -4.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365

Medvedev – Rinderknech: 11.10.2025 13:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Daniil Medvedev has won four of his last five matches. This week in Shanghai, Medvedev defeated Svrcina in the opening round in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints. In the third round, Medvedev defeated Davidovich Fokina in straight sets. He offered and saved only one breakpoint. After playing for three hours, Medvedev defeated Tien in the 1/8-Finals in three tight sets. In the quarterfinals, the Russian defeated de Minaur in straight sets. He was the champion here in 2019. Last season in Shanghai, Sinner defeated Medvedev in the quarterfinals in straight sets.

Arthur Rinderknech has won five straight matches. This week in Shanghai, Medjedovic retired mid-match against the Frenchman in the opening round. In the second round, Rinderknech defeated Michelsen in straight sets. He trailed 2-4 in the second set, but won four straight games and turned the set around. Rinderknech upset Zverev in the third round, after losing the opening set 4-6. He offered three breakpoints altogether in the second and third sets and saved them all. In the 1/8-Finals, the Frenchman upset Lehecka in straight sets. Rinderknech upset Auger-Aliassime in the quarterfinals, winning in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Rinderknech is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He is playing his best tennis and has surprised several great hard-court players. We expect him to keep this match tight.

That being said, Rinderknech covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Arthur Rinderknech +2.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365