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WTA Stuttgart Final Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko
USA Today Sports

The 2025 WTA Stuttgart final between Aryna Sabalenka and Jelena Ostapenko promises a high-octane clash between two of the tour’s most explosive hitters. Both players have found their rhythm on the indoor clay, arriving at the final with commanding performances and plenty of confidence. Both players have been in exceptional form throughout the tournament, setting the stage for a compelling contest but who is poised to take the title?

WTA Stuttgart Final Prediction

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko

Head-to-head: Sabalenka 3-0 Ostapenko

Sabalenka had a walkover into the quarterfinals but has looked sharp when she has been on court at the WTA Stuttgart Open, dispatching Elise Mertens 6-4 6-1 in her opener before overcoming a gritty challenge from Jasmine Paolini in the semifinals. After falling behind 0-3 in the second set, she clawed her way back to win 7-5 6-4, demonstrating her trademark power and improving court sense. This will be her fourth straight Stuttgart final—a testament to her consistency at this event—even though she’s still chasing her first title here.

Ostapenko, meanwhile, has arguably been the story of the tournament. She stunned world #2 Iga Swiatek – and the world’s best on clay in recent years – in straight sets in the quarterfinals, extending her head-to-head dominance over the Pole to 6-0. Her semifinal win over Ekaterina Alexandrova, 6-4 6-4, was a composed display of the kind of aggressive shotmaking that saw her win the French Open in 2017. Ostapenko has been sharp, fearless, and remarkably clean off the ground.

With the head-to-head highly skewed in favor of Aryna Sabalenka, it gives her a clear mental advantage heading into the final. Sabalenka also has the edge in Stuttgart experience, but Ostapenko’s current form and recent wins over top-tier opponents give her every chance to take the title. Expect momentum swings, fierce rallies, and no shortage of emotion. Still, if Sabalenka can absorb Ostapenko’s pace and keep her unforced errors in check, her blend of experience and grit might just tip the balance.

Prediction: Sabalenka in 3

This article first appeared on Last Word On Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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