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New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx Preview, Prediction & Odds | August 16, 2025

Originally posted on Total Apex Fantasy Sports
By Vince Pensabene | Last updated Aug 16, 2025 2:54 AM ET

New York Liberty (21-12) vs. Minnesota Lynx (27-5)

Game Details: Saturday, August 16, 2025 @ 2:00 pm EST

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota

Where to Watch: CBS

We have an intriguing nonconference WNBA matchup on Saturday afternoon between the New York Liberty and the Minnesota Lynx at the Target Center. This is the third of four games these teams will play this season. The Liberty are third in the WNBA with a 21-12 record and are coming off an 83-77 road loss against the Las Vegas Aces on Wednesday. The Lynx are first in the WNBA with a 27-5 record and are on a five-game winning streak after an 83-71 road win last Sunday against the New York Liberty. Let’s take a deeper dive into what this game should wind up looking like.

Betting Odds

Team	Spread	Total Runs	Money Line
	-1.5 (-110)	Over 165.5 (-110)	+105
	+1.5 (-110)	Under 165.5 (-110)	-125

**Odds courtesy of DraftKings**

Apex Tale Of The Tape

	*Team Stats*
86.7	Points Per Game	87.0
34.0	Rebounds Per Game	34.2
22.0	Assists Per Game	23.9
4.7	Blocks Per Game	5.1
8.1	Steals Per Game	8.3
45.6	Field Goal Percentage	47.1
35.5	Three Point Percentage	37.1
84.2	Free Throw Percentage	77.4
81.5	Opp. Points Per Game	75.6
42.0	Opp. Field Goal Percentage	41.9
31.6	Opp. Three Point Percentage	31.6
16.5	Fouls Per Game	16.3

Projected Starting 5’s

	*Position*
Natasha Cloud	PG	Bridget Carleton
Leonie Fiebich	SG	Kayla McBride
Sabrina Ionescu	SF	Jessica Shepard
Jonquel Jones	PF	Alanna Smith
Emma Meesseman	C	Courtney Williams

Key Stats

New York Liberty

The New York Liberty are sitting at 21-12 for the season so far, which is third in the WNBA. Throughout the season, the Liberty have been doing an amazing job offensively as the team is averaging 86.7 points per game while connecting on 45.6% of their shots. This New York team is shooting the three at an incredible level as they are connecting on 35.5% from deep. The Liberty have been doing a solid job at the charity stripe as they have a team free-throw percentage of 84.2. The team has been led by guard Sabrina Ionescu as she has 19.3 points, 4.7 rebounds, 5.4 assists, 0.4 blocks, and 1.4 steals per game.

This New York team has done a middling job on the defensive side of the floor thus far, as they are allowing 81.5 points per game. The team needs to be better defensively if they want to be successful going forward.

Minnesota Lynx

The Minnesota Lynx have been playing at an incredible level so far this season as they are best in the WNBA with a 27-5 record. They are coming off an 83-71 road win over the New York Liberty in their most recent game. Their offense is averaging 87.0 points per game while shooting 47.1% from the floor thus far. They are shooting at a significant level from three at 37.1% and need to step up more at the charity stripe at 77.4%. The Lynx are leaning on forward Napheesa Collier as she is averaging 23.5 points, 7.5 rebounds, 3.5 assists, 1.6 blocks, and 1.8 steals per game.

The defense has been performing at an incredible level for the Lynx as they are giving up 75.6 points per game. If they can continue to step up, they are in a great position to continue dominating.

Betting Trends

	*Betting Stats*
1-2	W/L Last 3	3-0
12-19-2	ATS	19-12-1
16-17	O/U	17-15

Prediction

These teams can score at a consitent rate. A major reason why these are two of the best teams in terms of offensive ratings as the Lynx are first in the WNBA with a 110.0 offensive rating while the Liberty are third with a 106.6 offensive rating right now. These are the two best teams in basketball in terms of shooting from three as New York is second with a 35.5 team 3-point percentage while Minnesota is best with a 37.1 percentage from beyond the arc. All in all, go with over 165.5 total points to hit.