Originally posted on Fox Sports Wisconsin  |  Last updated 5/24/12
MILWAUKEE Next to his locker in the Brewers clubhouse last week, Milwaukee center fielder Nyjer Morgan said what many were thinking when it came to the Brewers' disappointing 18-26 start this season. It's not early anymore, he admitted. And it's true. With May quickly coming to a close, the Brewers can no longer excuse their slow start by pointing to a calendar. "We're just waiting for something to click," Morgan said. "Don't know when, that's the most frustrating thing about it. You just don't know when the light switch is going to go on for everybody." But will that light switch go on in time? It's almost impossible to tell. As far along as we are in the season, history tells us that there's plenty of time for things to turn around. Last year's Brewers, who fell two games short of the World Series, were just 21-23 at this point in the season. But that team was on the upswing and went on to win more than anyone else in the major leagues in the season's final 118 games. There are, of course, several mitigating factors that can make one 18-26 team look light years ahead of another 18-26 team. A simple look at Thursday's standings shows us that teams like the Detroit Tigers (20-24) and L.A. Angels (20-25) are, like the Brewers, massively underachieving through the first part of the season. But by season's end, at least two of those teams should be at least back to respectability. Will the Brewers be one of the two, though? In the past 20 years of baseball in Milwaukee, the Brewers have made the playoffs twice, winning 90 or more games in both seasons. Only once in the past 20 seasons have the Brewers won 90 or more games and not made the playoffs -- they finished second in the AL East in 1992 with 92 wins). Through that period, the 90-win plateau became a relatively reliable measuring stick for a team's potential playoff worthiness. No team since 2009 has made the playoffs with fewer than 90 wins, and in the past two decades (not counting the shortened seasons of 1994 and 1995), 15 teams have made the playoffs with a win total in the 80s. (Good news for the Brewers, 10 of those teams have come from the National League.) But no team in the past 20 years has made the playoffs with fewer than 80 wins in a 162-game season. So with that benchmark in mind, the Brewers would ideally need 72 more victories to reach the 90-win plateau. To do that, they would need to finish the season with a 72-46 record. As the hottest team in baseball down the stretch last year, the Brewers finished 75-43 through the season's final 118 games. Similarly, during Milwaukee's 1982 run to the World Series, the team tallied a 74-44 record from this point in the season on. So the truth is if the Brewers have any plans to win the division and make the playoffs, it will likely take a run similar to last season's to make it happen. That's certainly not impossible, and an extra wild-card spot in the 2012 postseason will open an extra door for a lesser NL team to sneak into the playoffs no one really knows what to expect when it comes to adding those two extra spots into the fold. But since 1992, the Brewers have had just three worse starts to the season than they have in 2012. And their best result in those circumstances was a 77-85 record in 2010. So is it too late for Milwaukee? Of course not. But is it time to start worrying about possibly missing the playoffs? Not just yet. But that time is coming sooner rather than later. Follow Ryan Kartje on Twitter.
GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Draft prospect Frank Jackson undergoes foot surgery

Bucks promoting Justin Zanik to interim GM

Ice Cube challenges LaVar Ball to make 4-point shot, will make it worth his while

New Jersey Devils fire trail-blazing radio analyst Sherry Ross

Report: Chris Paul, Spurs may have ‘mutual interest’ in deal

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Antonio Brown tweets great reaction to relaxed celebration rules

Report: Timberwolves interested in signing Derrick Rose

Report: NFL teams raising ‘concerns’ over games in London

Doctors unsure whether Isaiah Thomas needs hip surgery

NBA will bring All-Star Game back to Charlotte in 2019

Chelsea cancels Premier League victory parade amid Manchester attack

The 'Farewell to the Manu, the Myth, the Legend' quiz

Box Score 5/24: Craig Anderson saves the Senators

The 'Walk on home, boy' quiz

NBA Referee Hotline Bling: Dejounte Murray gets his calls blocked twice

It's reality check time for the Texas Rangers

Box Score 5/23: Preds, Warriors move on to respective Finals

The 10 best sports docs available for streaming

Why wait? Our too soon Cavaliers-Warriors NBA Finals preview

NBA Weekend Awards: Who will take a bite of the Snow White Crystal Apple?

The 'How two award snubs might shake up the NBA' quiz

Preparing for the BIG3: Q&A with BIG3 co-founder Jeff Kwatinetz

Two months in and Nintendo's Switch dominates 2017 video game market

MLB News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

Why the Indianapolis 500 is called 'the greatest spectacle in racing'

The 'Farewell to the Manu, the Myth, the Legend' quiz

NBA Referee Hotline Bling: Dejounte Murray gets his calls blocked twice

It's reality check time for the Texas Rangers

The 'Walk on home, boy' quiz

NBA Weekend Awards: Who will take a bite of the Snow White Crystal Apple?

Why wait? Our too soon Cavaliers-Warriors NBA Finals preview

The 10 best sports docs available for streaming

The 'How two award snubs might shake up the NBA' quiz

Preparing for the BIG3: Q&A with BIG3 co-founder Jeff Kwatinetz

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Help
Follow Yardbarker