Originally posted on Fangraphs  |  Last updated 5/18/13
Table of Contents Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes. 1. Brief Review: Burch Smith’s Second Start 2. Today’s MLB.TV Free Game 3. Today’s Complete Schedule Brief Review: Burch Smith’s Second Start Introduction San Diego right-hander Burch Smith, owner of both a mid-90s fastball and excellent line in the Double-A Texas League, made his major-league debut last Saturday against Tampa Bay and the results were poor (box). He made his second start last night (Friday) at home against Washington. What follows is a brief review of that second start. Smith’s Results Because he conceded three home runs, but because he also posted an 8:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio against just 23 batters, there’s a gap between how many runs Smith conceded and how many one might expect him to concede usually. For example, Smith’s single-game ERA and FIP were 8.44 and 7.90, respectively — which is to say, not ideal. His single-game xFIP, however (which metric normalizes home-run rate per fly ball), was just 2.49 — which is to say, much better. Overall, here’s his line from the Friday night (box): 5.1 IP, 23 TBF, 8 K, 1 BB, 1 GB on 13 batted-balls (7.7% GB), 6 H, 3 HR, 5 R. Smith’s Pitches As the PITCHf/x chart below (featuring pitch speed and horizontal movement) reveals, Smith threw somewhere between three and five pitches (depending on how one separates the fastballs): a fastball, a changeup, and a curve. Smith’s Pitches Relative to Last Start Here’s a comparison between the chart above relative to one from Smith’s first start — which comparison reveals that, among other things, Smith threw many more changeups and also a collection of fastballs with more significant arm-side run. Four Lessons Regarding Smith Below are four lessons we might take from Smith’s Friday start. Lesson One: Smith’s Fastball Is Pretty Excellent According to Brooks Baseball, Smith threw 59 fastballs and induced swinging strikes on 12 of them — a rate considerably above league average for a fastball. Here he is, for example, throwing a high fastball past Bryce Harper in the first inning: Lesson Two: That Said, It Has a Tendency to Run Back Over the Plate More than once, Smith threw to a target on the edge of the zone, only to have his fastball tail back towards the middle of it (i.e. the zone). Here’s an example of that from the fifth inning, on an 0-2 pitch to Ryan Zimmerman which would have ideally not been as hittable as it became: Lesson Three: Smith’s Changeup Can Also Be Pretty Excellent Smith induced an even higher percentage of swinging strikes on his changeup than on his fastball (35.3%) — this, after throwing the pitch just twice in his debut. Here’s an example of Smith’s change from the fifth inning against the generally contact-oriented Denard Span: Lesson Four: Smith’s Curve Isn’t a Swing-and-Miss Pitch, At All Of the 32 pitches Smith threw on a two-strike count, only three of them (so, less than 10%) were curves and none of them bothered hitters much. Here, for example, is the only curve Smith threw to a right-hander (in this case, Ian Desmond) on a two-strike count: Readers’ Preferred Broadcast Per the results of our crowdsourcing project from the 2011-2012 offseason, FanGraphs readers prefer Washington Radio (link). Today’s MLB.TV Free Game Los Angeles NL at Atlanta | 19:10 ET Chris Capuano (15.0 IP, 101 xFIP-, -0.1 WAR) faces Kris Medlen (49.2 IP, 120 xFIP-, 0.0 WAR). After difficulties in each of his first two starts, Capuano was considerably better in this third one this past Sunday against Miami, also showing increased velocity on his sinker. Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Atlanta Radio. Today’s Complete Schedule Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 5.8. Note: the following table is entirely sortable. Away SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time Jeremy Hefner NYN 3 7 3 4 2 CHN Scott Feldman 13:05 Joe Saunders SEA 1 5 4 9 5 CLE Zach McAllister 13:05 Brandon Morrow TOR 2 4 4 5 6 NYA David Phelps* 13:05 Hector Santiago CHA 8 0 6 5 5 LAA Joe Blanton 16:05 Bronson Arroyo CIN 4 4 4 1 5 PHI Kyle Kendrick 16:05 Rob. Hernandez TB 6 7 5 8 3 BAL Jair Jurrjens* 16:05 Erik Bedard HOU 2 4 6 7 9 PIT A.J. Burnett 19:05 Bran. McCarthy AZ 7 4 4 0 3 MIA Tom Koehler* 19:10 Ryan Dempster BOS 8 8 6 3 3 MIN Scott Diamond 19:10 Chris Capuano* LAN 6 2 5 8 3 ATL Kris Medlen 19:10 Marco Estrada MIL 6 6 6 2 6 STL Lance Lynn 19:15 Anibal Sanchez DET 10 8 8 4 6 TEX Justin Grimm 20:05 Tim Lincecum SF 7 6 7 7 6 COL Tyler Chatwood* 20:10 J. Zimmermann WAS 9 3 5 5 2 SD Eric Stults 20:40 Ervin Santana KC 8 6 7 6 6 OAK Tommy Milone 21:05 To learn how Pitcher and Team NERD Scores are calculated, click here. To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here. * = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

Report: Jose Fernandez has 'soured' on Marlins brass

Zach LaVine dedicates dunk contest win to Flip Saunders

Alleged Manning sexual assault cited in Tennessee lawsuit

Arian Foster: It's hard for me to watch football

Isaiah Thomas recruiting players at All-Star weekend

Report: Charles Woodson joining ESPN's Sunday NFL crew


Best and worst from NBA All-Star Saturday night

WATCH: Klay Thompson can't go home unless he beats Steph Curry in 3-Point contest

Star players are hurting Houston Rockets

Emmitt Smith: Adrian Peterson only current player who could break rushing record

Coach K gets buzzer-beater win over Virginia for his birthday

Baylor approves new measures to deal with sexual assault

WATCH: Dustin Johnson's son steals Jordan Spieth's club

Fans want Floyd Mayweather to buy their soccer team

Tennessee shares Valentines-themed photo of packed stadium

NY Post writer takes harsh shot at Jason Pierre-Paul

LaVine, Gordon put on best NBA dunk contest in years

WATCH: Thompson beats teammate Curry in 3-point contest

NFL teams, players hand out awesome Valentines

Earl Campbell ‘disappointed’ in Johnny Manziel, wants to help

Big man Karl-Anthony Towns wins NBA skills challenge

MLB commish: Cubs will host All-Star Game in near future

WATCH: Memphis forward recreates Vince Carter's elbow dunk in game

Bruins forward is goal scoring machine after suspension

Michael Jordan gives Kobe Bryant complete set of Air Jordans

MLB News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

LaVine dedicates dunk contest win to Flip Saunders

Ranking the ten best free agent pitcher signings

Who had the best NBA All-Star Game of the last 40 years?

The winners and losers of the 2016 MLB offseason

On Kobe Bryant and taking greatness for granted

Bucks need to choose between wins, development

Fantasy booking WrestleMania 32

Unrestricted free agents each team must consider re-signing

QUIZ: Name the winners of the NBA Slam Dunk Contest

Thank you Daniel Bryan

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Follow Yardbarker