Originally written on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 11/15/14

Jose Reyes was in old form for 2011 even if it was for only 126 games. He scored 101 runs, stole 39 bases and batted .337, which extrapolated over 158 games (his average from 2005-2008) comes out to 127 runs, 49 steals and .337 average. His xBAs are consistently lower than his actual batting average, but he’s shown that to be a trend and not luck. Of course, Reyes comes with two used up hamstring muscles that could very well cost Reyes over a month in playing time. He’s a risky pick, but the reward can be oh so sweet.

Best case scenario: Stays healthy for 140 games
Similar players: Elvis Andrus (TEX) with power, Jimmy Rollins (PHI), Hanley Ramirez (MIA) with inverted speed/power
Worst case scenario: The hammies act up


Speed, batting average, runs. Despite the bad hamstrings Reyes showed he’s still capable of stealing bases at an elite rate. He’ll also be batting leadoff in a lineup that consists of Hanley Ramirez and Mike Stanton so 100 runs should be well within reach.


Health. It’s not secret that Reyes hasn’t played more than 133 games since 2008 and his max is probably 140 games on a very good year. As long as you plan ahead you should be fine, just cross your fingers and hope he stays healthy for the majority of the season.

ADP Report (20.1)

For someone as big of a health risk as Reyes, this ADP seems a little high to me. Then again, he’s coming off his best season in the last three years so the hype is higher than usual. His former teammate, David Wright, is going 12 picks later for the same health reasons and I would rather have Wright than Reyes at pick 20. 

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