Originally written on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 4/9/13
Boston-red-sox
Another day, another poor outing from Roy Halladay. Honestly, if this were any other pitcher going through the same velocity decline and struggles we’d be calling him done at age 37. The fact that it’s Halladay, who has been so dominant for so long, gives me some hope that he can learn to pitch without top-end velocity ala Greg Maddux.Yesterday — 4 IP, 6 H, 7 ER, 3 K/3 BB — was no better than his first start and his velocity still sat in the high 80′s and low 90′s. It’s getting harder to roster him, but if you’re in anything other than a 10-team league I find it hard to imagine there’s anyone with more upside on your waiver wire. I recommended you sit him yesterday and now he’s a must-sit option (unless he faces the Astros) until he figures out whatever is plaguing him.He’s a bounceback candidate, but with every poor outing my confidence in that statement decreases.4/8 RecapIt’s nice to see Clay Buchholz pitching well again and we should overlook the fact that it’s happening with John Farrell in town. The last time Farrell was with the Red Sox was in 2010 as the pitching coach. That year, Buchholz broke out with a 17-7 record, 2.33 ERA, and 1.20 WHIP.Norichika Aoki (3-for-4, R, 2 BB), who was ranked 64th in our top 200 series, has been making us look good with his hot start — .419/.486/.581 slash with 6 R and 1 SB). In a lineup that is lacking Aramis Ramirez, Corey Hart, and has a banged-up Ryan Braun, the runs might take a short-term hit, but he’s the real deal.It didn’t take long for Andrelton Simmons (0-for-4) to lose his leadoff duties to B.J. Upton (0-for-5), and while Upton’s .241 OBP is horrible, it’s still 121 points higher than his batting average. If Upton can get back to his days where he walked 11.0%+ of the time I will feel a lot better about his 2013 production.Joe Saunders continued the trend of dominating Astros hitting — 6.1 IP – 6 H, 0 ER, 5 K/1 BB — showing why it’s beneficial to stream any pitcher against the Quad-A squad.Looking AheadI don’t know how long Shin-Soo Choo, who has been a monster at the plate, will stay in center field, but he hasn’t looked good in his time there so far. Yesterday he committed two errors and it could have an effect on the Reds’ starting pitchers. It’s not like the Reds have a lot of options other than putting Chris Heisey in center, but they haven’t shown any indication that is in the near future.Wandy Rodriguez left with hamstring tightness in the 3rd inning yesterday and there hasn’t been any word on the severity. It’s worth keeping an eye on as Rodriguez is a solid option pitching option in all leagues.Tuesday’s Probable StartersA list of today’s probable starters and start/sit recommendations, based on standard 10 or 12-team leagues.  Bold = startJake Peavy (CHW) @ Gio Gonzalez (WAS) — A pair of aces makes for a pair of starts.Brandon Morrow (TOR) @ Anibal Sanchez (DET) — Read here for why we’re fans of Morrow; Sanchez needs to get the control back to be successful.Andy Pettitte (NYY) @ Carlos Carrasco (CLE) — Pettitte has been very solid since coming back from retirement; Carrasco hasn’t pitched since 2011 so you shouldn’t even think of playing him.Roberto Hernandez (TB) @ Nick Tepesch (TEX) — Roberto who? The man formerly known as Fausto Carmona has always struggled with homers so despite a nice debut, Texas isn’t a good place for him; Tepesch is far too risky to start in his debut.Mike Pelfrey (MIN) @ Jeremy Guthrie (KC) — Umm, pass.Jarrod Parker (OAK) @ C.J. Wilson (LAA) — Two solid options for a quality start, but Wilson has more upside than Parker.Erik Bedard (HOU) @ Brandon Maurer (SEA) — Saunders continued the trend of shutting down the Astros so Maurer should be a nice spot start; Bedard is also a good option while he’s still healthy and pitching in Safeco.Josh Beckett (LAD) @ Clayton Richard (SD) — Beckett may not be his vintage self, but pitching at Petco against the Padres lineup should prove beneficial; speaking of Petco, Richard is a much better pitcher at home.Dillon Gee (NYM) @ Cliff Lee (PHI) — Few are better than Lee, but Gee is an underrated option as well.Kris Medlen (ATL) @ Wade LeBlanc (MIA) — You can be sure that Medlen will look to bounce back against the lowly Marlins offense.Wily Peralta (MIL) @ Travis Wood (CHC) — Don’t trust either of these options.Bronson Arroyo (CIN) @ Lance Lynn (STL) — I like Lynn as a solid #4 pitcher this year, but not in this matchup.James McDonald (PIT) @ Brandon McCarthy (ARI) — McCarthy is a nice comeback story, but that doesn’t mean you should start him.Juan Nicasio (COL) @ Tim Lincecum (SF) — This isn’t 2009 and Lincecum looks like a shell of his former self.#ProfStatsNote: We are going to start a new trend (literally) where we post fun and interesting stats we find around the baseball twittersphere with the hashtag #ProfStats. We encourage our readers to do the same, either through your own research or something you come across on the web, and we will post them in our daily recaps!Via @BaseballProfWe had some fun with Yuniesky Betancourt yesterday. He was intentionally walked, which was just the eighth time in 1,025 games. This isn’t surprising seeing that he has a career .682 OPS and 79 wRC+.Via @ESPNStatsInfoMets C John Buck‘s 12 RBI are the most by any Mets player within the team’s 1st seven games of the season.Via @EliasSportsJustin Upton joins Jack Cust (2007 Athletics) as only players with 6 HR in his 1st seven games with a teamVia one of our readers @akfleachadjohnBefore yesterday’s games, Coco Crisp had 5 doubles, which was more than the entire Pirates team (4 doubles).
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